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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 22, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 84% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:29Shot by Santorelli, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 6:17Shot by Smith, saved by Neuvirth
  4. P1 8:54Shot by Bitetto, saved by Neuvirth
  5. P1 9:19Shot by Wilson, saved by Neuvirth
  6. P1 9:45Santorelli: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian · NSH Weber, Santorelli, Wilson, Josi, Beck

  7. P1 11:26Shot by Moulson, saved by Hutton5v4
  8. P1 12:24Shot by Jones, saved by Neuvirth
  9. P1 13:17Shot by Foligno, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 13:24Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Hutton
  11. P1 14:00Shot by Neal, saved by Neuvirth
  12. P1 14:45Shot by Neal, saved by Neuvirth
  13. P1 15:20Stewart: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Stewart, Ennis, Pysyk, Girgensons · NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Bourque, Bitetto, Jones

  14. P1 17:13Shot by Wilson, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  15. P1 17:42Shot by Santorelli, saved by Neuvirth
  16. P1 18:39Shot by Gaustad, saved by Neuvirth
  17. P1 19:17Shot by Forsberg, saved by Neuvirth
  18. P1 0:00Flynn: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Flynn, Ristolainen · NSH Fisher, Ribeiro, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Smith

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:55Shot by Weber, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  22. P2 1:15Shot by Wilson, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  23. P2 2:23Santorelli: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stewart, Hodgson, Ennis, McCabe, Ristolainen · NSH Cullen, Weber, Santorelli, Josi, Beck

  24. P2 2:27Shot by Weber, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  25. P2 6:14Shot by Smith, saved by Neuvirth
  26. P2 6:15Girgensons: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Stewart, Bogosian, Ennis, Girgensons · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Franson, Smith, Jones

  27. P2 8:53Shot by Beck, saved by Neuvirth
  28. P2 9:00Shot by Cullen, saved by Neuvirth
  29. P2 9:08Shot by Stewart, saved by Hutton
  30. P2 11:06Shot by Smith, saved by Neuvirth
  31. P2 11:09Shot by Cullen, saved by Neuvirth
  32. P2 11:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Neuvirth
  33. P2 11:42Shot by Forsberg, saved by Neuvirth
  34. P2 11:46Shot by Josi, saved by Neuvirth
  35. P2 12:27Shot by Meszaros, saved by Hutton
  36. P2 12:32Meszaros: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Meszaros, Hodgson, Larsson, Pysyk · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith

  37. P2 12:41Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  38. P2 14:44Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 15:52Stewart: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Mitchell, Stewart, Ennis, Pysyk · NSH Weber, Santorelli, Wilson, Josi, Beck

  40. P2 16:24Shot by Weber, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  41. P2 17:36Shot by Franson, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  42. P2 18:34Shot by Santorelli, saved by Neuvirth
  43. P2 19:46Goal by Ennis (Girgensons, Moulson)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Bogosian, Ennis, Girgensons · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Franson, Ekholm, Bourque

  44. P2 19:59Cullen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Stewart, Ennis, Girgensons, Ristolainen · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 3:26Shot by Girgensons, saved by Hutton
  48. P3 4:55Shot by Jones, saved by Neuvirth
  49. P3 5:48Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Hutton
  50. P3 6:02Shot by Moulson, saved by Hutton
  51. P3 7:13Shot by Smith, saved by Neuvirth
  52. P3 8:31Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton
  53. P3 11:02Shot by Neal, saved by Neuvirth
  54. P3 11:08Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Neuvirth
  55. P3 11:46Shot by Wilson, saved by Neuvirth
  56. P3 11:55Shot by Jones, saved by Neuvirth
  57. P3 12:02Shot by Gionta, saved by Hutton
  58. P3 13:50Shot by Santorelli, saved by Neuvirth
  59. P3 14:08Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian · NSH Fisher, Franson, Wilson, Smith, Jones

  60. P3 14:06Shot by Franson, saved by Neuvirth
  61. P3 14:08Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian · NSH Fisher, Franson, Wilson, Smith, Jones

  62. P3 14:08Wilson: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian · NSH Fisher, Franson, Wilson, Smith, Jones

  63. P3 14:08Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian · NSH Fisher, Franson, Wilson, Smith, Jones

  64. P3 14:08Mitchell: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian · NSH Fisher, Franson, Wilson, Smith, Jones

  65. P3 15:43Goal by Ribeiro (Franson, Jones)4v5+39 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Meszaros, Pysyk, Flynn · NSH Cullen, Ribeiro, Santorelli, Franson, Jones

  66. P3 16:52Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton
  67. P3 17:02Benoit: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Ristolainen · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Ekholm, Smith, Jones

  68. P3 19:13Shot by Bourque, saved by Neuvirth
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:42Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton4v4
  72. OT 1:08Shot by Pysyk, saved by Hutton4v4
  73. OT 1:47Shot by Mitchell, saved by Hutton4v4
  74. OT 2:35Shot by Wilson, saved by Neuvirth4v4
  75. OT 3:20Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Hutton4v4
  76. OT 3:34Shot by Josi, saved by Neuvirth4v4
  77. OT 4:00Bogosian: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Bogosian, Ennis, Girgensons · NSH Fisher, Neal, Franson, Ekholm

  78. OT 0:00Period end
  79. SO Period start
  80. SO Shot by Moulson, saved by Huttonother
  81. SO Goal by Santorelli, unassistedother
  82. SO Goal by Ennis, unassistedother
  83. SO Shot by Smith, saved by Neuvirthother
  84. SO Shot by Cullen, saved by Neuvirthother
  85. SO Shot by Gionta, saved by Huttonother
  86. SO Goal by Forsberg, unassistedother
  87. SO Period end
  88. SO Final