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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 24, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Philadelphia Flyers 1, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 95% of the time.

CAR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Zepp
  3. P1 2:05Shot by Malone, saved by Zepp
  4. P1 3:00Shot by Staal, saved by Zepp
  5. P1 3:26Shot by Simmonds, saved by Ward
  6. P1 3:24Shot by Raffl, saved by Ward
  7. P1 3:58Shot by Staal, saved by Zepp
  8. P1 4:09Shot by Read, saved by Ward
  9. P1 4:57Shot by Semin, saved by Zepp
  10. P1 5:16Shot by Raffl, saved by Ward
  11. P1 5:42Shot by Giroux, saved by Ward
  12. P1 6:08Schultz: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Staal, Staal, Jordan, Lindholm · PHI Streit, Schultz, Simmonds, Raffl, Bellemare

  13. P1 6:30Shot by Rask, saved by Zepp5v4
  14. P1 6:52Shot by Faulk, saved by Zepp5v4
  15. P1 6:53Shot by Tlusty, saved by Zepp5v4
  16. P1 7:18Shot by Rask, saved by Zepp5v4
  17. P1 7:29Goal by Faulk (Staal, Lindholm)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Tlusty, Faulk, Rask, Lindholm · PHI Coburn, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier

  18. P1 8:34Semin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Nash, Jordan, Skinner, Lindholm · PHI Streit, Schultz, Umberger, White, Schenn

  19. P1 9:18Shot by Giroux, saved by Ward4v5
  20. P1 10:09Shot by Simmonds, saved by Ward4v5
  21. P1 10:46Shot by Semin, saved by Zepp
  22. P1 12:50Shot by Jordan, saved by Zepp
  23. P1 14:25Shot by Lindholm, saved by Zepp
  24. P1 17:46Goal by Grossmann (Voracek, Read)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Gerbe, Tlusty, Bellemore, Rask · PHI Grossmann, MacDonald, Voracek, Read, Couturier

  25. P1 19:44Shot by McClement, saved by Zepp
  26. P1 19:51Shot by Malone, saved by Zepp
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Couturier, saved by Ward
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:14Shot by Simmonds, saved by Ward
  31. P2 2:01Shot by Semin, saved by Zepp
  32. P2 2:16Goal by Skinner (Semin, Bellemore)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Semin, Nash, Bellemore, Skinner · PHI Umberger, Grossmann, MacDonald, Rinaldo, Schenn

  33. P2 3:54Shot by Gerbe, saved by Zepp
  34. P2 5:27Shot by Bellemare, saved by Ward
  35. P2 6:59Voracek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Gerbe, Tlusty, Bellemore, Rask · PHI Grossmann, MacDonald, Voracek, Read, Couturier

  36. P2 7:04Shot by Tlusty, saved by Zepp5v4
  37. P2 8:27Shot by Staal, saved by Zepp5v4
  38. P2 9:00Shot by Semin, saved by Zepp
  39. P2 11:52Shot by Bellemare, saved by Ward
  40. P2 12:23Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Sekera, Staal, Faulk, Lindholm · PHI Coburn, Giroux, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Raffl

  41. P2 13:41Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ward4v5
  42. P2 13:58Shot by Couturier, saved by Ward4v5
  43. P2 14:28Shot by Giroux, saved by Ward
  44. P2 14:36Shot by Bellemare, saved by Ward
  45. P2 14:43VandeVelde: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Staal, Jordan · PHI Coburn, VandeVelde, Voracek, Del Zotto, Bellemare

  46. P2 14:49Shot by Staal, saved by Zepp5v4
  47. P2 15:53Shot by Semin, saved by Zepp5v4
  48. P2 15:55Goal by Staal (Semin, Faulk)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Rask · PHI Schultz, Grossmann, Read, Couturier

  49. P2 15:54Shot by Semin, saved by Zepp5v4
  50. P2 19:46Shot by Voracek, saved by Ward
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 3:33Shot by Sekera, saved by Zepp
  54. P3 3:57Shot by Staal, saved by Zepp
  55. P3 3:58Shot by Staal, saved by Zepp
  56. P3 5:36MacDonald: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Semin, Nash, Jordan, Skinner · PHI VandeVelde, MacDonald, Del Zotto, Rinaldo, Bellemare

  57. P3 8:02Shot by Streit, saved by Ward
  58. P3 8:05Shot by MacDonald, saved by Ward
  59. P3 8:59Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ward
  60. P3 9:51Shot by Gerbe, saved by Zepp
  61. P3 10:21Shot by Faulk, saved by Zepp
  62. P3 12:33Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ward
  63. P3 13:24Shot by MacDonald, saved by Ward
  64. P3 14:37Goal by McClement (Malone)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR McClement, Dwyer, Sekera, Malone, Faulk · PHI Coburn, VandeVelde, Voracek, Del Zotto, Bellemare

  65. P3 14:43Shot by Semin, saved by Zepp
  66. P3 14:49Shot by Jordan, saved by Zepp
  67. P3 16:27Shot by Lindholm, saved by Zepp
  68. P3 16:29Shot by Lindholm, saved by Zepp
  69. P3 16:42Shot by Coburn, saved by Ward
  70. P3 17:21Shot by MacDonald, saved by Ward
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final