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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 26, 2015·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Detroit Red Wings 3, San Jose Sharks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

SJS winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:20Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard
  3. P1 4:43Shot by Sheppard, saved by Howard
  4. P1 4:44Shot by Nieto, saved by Howard
  5. P1 5:09Shot by Hertl, saved by Howard
  6. P1 6:50Shot by Couture, saved by Howard
  7. P1 7:06Goal by Irwin (Thornton, Hannan)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Hannan, Pavelski, Irwin, Karlsson · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Sheahan

  8. P1 7:23Shot by Hannan, saved by Howard
  9. P1 8:23Shot by Glendening, saved by Niemi
  10. P1 8:51Wingels: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Braun, Couture, Wingels, Dillon · DET Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Tatar, DeKeyser

  11. P1 11:19Shot by Dillon, saved by Howard6v5
  12. P1 11:19Jurco: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Sheppard, Braun, Dillon, Nieto, Hertl · DET Miller, Smith, Jurco, Glendening, DeKeyser

  13. P1 12:07Shot by Burns, saved by Howard5v4
  14. P1 13:29Shot by Irwin, saved by Howard
  15. P1 15:55Shot by Sheahan, saved by Niemi
  16. P1 16:05Helm: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Hannan, Couture, Wingels, Irwin · DET Datsyuk, Kindl, Helm, Tatar, Marchenko

  17. P1 16:04Shot by Helm, saved by Niemi
  18. P1 16:11Shot by Burns, saved by Howard5v4
  19. P1 17:07Shot by Burns, saved by Howard5v4
  20. P1 17:56Shot by Thornton, saved by Howard5v4
  21. P1 17:56Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard5v4
  22. P1 18:56Shot by Tatar, saved by Niemi
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:16Shot by Helm, saved by Niemi
  26. P2 0:17Shot by Helm, saved by Niemi
  27. P2 1:09Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Niemi
  28. P2 2:28Shot by Weiss, saved by Niemi
  29. P2 2:54Shot by Wingels, saved by Howard
  30. P2 3:10Burns: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Burns, Vlasic, Couture, Wingels · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar

  31. P2 3:23Shot by Helm, saved by Niemi4v5
  32. P2 3:36Shot by Kindl, saved by Niemi4v5
  33. P2 3:53Goal by Pulkkinen (Sheahan, Weiss)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun · DET Weiss, Kindl, Helm, Sheahan, Pulkkinen

  34. P2 5:07Shot by Dillon, saved by Howard
  35. P2 6:42Ericsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Burns, Kennedy, Vlasic, Goodrow, Tierney · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Sheahan

  36. P2 6:51Goal by Marleau (Pavelski, Couture)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Couture · DET Kronwall, Miller, Glendening, DeKeyser

  37. P2 7:28Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Niemi
  38. P2 8:17Andersson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Hannan, Sheppard, Irwin, Nieto, Hertl · DET Weiss, Kindl, Andersson, Pulkkinen, Marchenko

  39. P2 8:17Irwin: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Hannan, Sheppard, Irwin, Nieto, Hertl · DET Weiss, Kindl, Andersson, Pulkkinen, Marchenko

  40. P2 8:54Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard4v4
  41. P2 10:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard4v4
  42. P2 11:16Shot by Irwin, saved by Howard
  43. P2 12:03Shot by Helm, saved by Niemi
  44. P2 12:04Shot by Helm, saved by Niemi
  45. P2 14:15Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Niemi
  46. P2 13:56Shot by Andersson, saved by Niemi
  47. P2 15:43Shot by Glendening, saved by Niemi
  48. P2 18:26Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi
  49. P2 18:26Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi
  50. P2 18:32Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Niemi
  51. P2 19:55Shot by Tatar, saved by Niemi
  52. P2 19:59Shot by Tatar, saved by Niemi
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:48Shot by Kindl, saved by Niemi
  56. P3 2:38Shot by Andersson, saved by Niemi
  57. P3 4:51Braun: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Braun, Dillon, Karlsson · DET Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  58. P3 5:22Shot by Couture, saved by Howard4v5
  59. P3 6:08Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Niemi4v5
  60. P3 7:33Nieto: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Hannan, Sheppard, Irwin, Nieto, Hertl · DET Miller, Smith, Nyquist, Jurco, Glendening, DeKeyser

  61. P3 8:35Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Niemi4v5
  62. P3 10:29Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Niemi4v5
  63. P3 11:00Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Niemi4v5
  64. P3 11:09Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi4v5
  65. P3 13:06Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Niemi
  66. P3 13:16Shot by Tatar, saved by Niemi
  67. P3 13:32Goal by Datsyuk (Tatar, DeKeyser)+37 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Burns, Vlasic, Couture, Wingels · DET Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Tatar, DeKeyser

  68. P3 13:42Shot by Nyquist, saved by Niemi
  69. P3 16:03Couture: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Burns, Vlasic, Couture, Wingels · DET Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  70. P3 16:03Smith: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Burns, Vlasic, Couture, Wingels · DET Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  71. P3 16:48Shot by Kindl, saved by Niemi4v4
  72. P3 18:45Goal by Glendening (Nyquist, DeKeyser)+46 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Hannan, Pavelski, Kennedy, Irwin · DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Glendening, DeKeyser

  73. P3 19:13Shot by Burns, saved by Howard6v5
  74. P3 19:19Andersson: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture, Wingels · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Andersson, Glendening

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final