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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 28, 2015·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 3, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 97% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 2:15Shot by Campbell, saved by Neuvirth
  4. P1 2:57Goal by Hodgson (Bogosian, Deslauriers)+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Thornton, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · BUF Ellis, Benoit, Bogosian, Hodgson, Deslauriers

  5. P1 3:49Dalpe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Hayes, Pirri, Trocheck, Ekblad · BUF Weber, Dalpe, Varone, Larsson, Ristolainen

  6. P1 7:18Goal by Meszaros (Larsson, Hodgson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Upshall, Kampfer, Petrovic · BUF Meszaros, Stewart, Hodgson, Varone, Zadorov

  7. P1 9:31Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Neuvirth
  8. P1 10:28Shot by Ekblad, saved by Neuvirth
  9. P1 10:35Stewart: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · BUF Ellis, Benoit, Bogosian, Hodgson, Deslauriers

  10. P1 10:44Shot by Jagr, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  11. P1 10:52Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  12. P1 12:33Shot by Barkov, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  13. P1 12:39Bjugstad: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Hayes, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Gionta, Ellis, Benoit, Stewart, Ristolainen

  14. P1 12:39Bjugstad: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Hayes, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Gionta, Ellis, Benoit, Stewart, Ristolainen

  15. P1 12:39Ristolainen: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Hayes, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Gionta, Ellis, Benoit, Stewart, Ristolainen

  16. P1 13:53Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo4v5
  17. P1 14:37Shot by Hodgson, saved by Luongo4v5
  18. P1 15:56Meszaros: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Ekblad · BUF Benoit, Meszaros, Stewart, Dalpe, Varone

  19. P1 16:29Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  20. P1 17:28Shot by Trocheck, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  21. P1 17:35Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  22. P1 18:29Ekblad: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Hayes, Kulikov, Trocheck, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Gionta, Weber, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson

  23. P1 18:49Shot by Meszaros, saved by Luongo4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P1 16:40Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:31Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo
  28. P2 0:59Kampfer: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kampfer, Petrovic, Huberdeau, Barkov · BUF Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Foligno, Ristolainen

  29. P2 1:24Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo4v5
  30. P2 3:36Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth
  31. P2 4:55Shot by Jagr, saved by Neuvirth
  32. P2 5:53Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Neuvirth
  33. P2 6:20Weber: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Boyes, Jokinen, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Gudbranson · BUF Weber, Hodgson, Deslauriers, Larsson, Ristolainen

  34. P2 6:39Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  35. P2 8:02Shot by Barkov, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  36. P2 8:06Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  37. P2 9:02Shot by Thornton, saved by Neuvirth
  38. P2 9:09Shot by Petrovic, saved by Neuvirth
  39. P2 9:23Shot by Kampfer, saved by Neuvirth
  40. P2 9:39Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth
  41. P2 10:03Larsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Boyes, Jokinen, Kulikov, Pirri, Gudbranson · BUF Dalpe, Varone, Larsson, Ristolainen, Zadorov

  42. P2 10:46Shot by Jokinen, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  43. P2 11:57Bogosian: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Upshall, Kampfer, Petrovic, Trocheck · BUF Gionta, Weber, Bogosian, Foligno

  44. P2 12:01Goal by Pirri (Campbell, Jokinen)5v3+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Boyes, Jokinen, Pirri · BUF Mitchell, Weber, Ristolainen

  45. P2 12:52Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  46. P2 13:05Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  47. P2 13:24Goal by Pirri (Campbell, Boyes)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Boyes, Jokinen, Pirri · BUF Weber, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  48. P2 14:18Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Neuvirth
  49. P2 15:27Shot by Zadorov, saved by Luongo
  50. P2 16:20Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Neuvirth
  51. P2 17:25Shot by Ekblad, saved by Neuvirth
  52. P2 18:31Goal by Bjugstad (Jokinen, Boyes)+26 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Boyes, Jokinen, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Gudbranson · BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian

  53. P2 19:48Shot by Larsson, saved by Luongo
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:44Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Neuvirth
  57. P3 1:05Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Neuvirth
  58. P3 1:09Shot by Jokinen, saved by Neuvirth
  59. P3 1:48Shot by Hayes, saved by Neuvirth
  60. P3 1:48Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth
  61. P3 2:43Shot by Jagr, saved by Neuvirth
  62. P3 4:14Shot by Upshall, saved by Neuvirth
  63. P3 5:11Shot by Hayes, saved by Neuvirth
  64. P3 7:11Shot by Ekblad, saved by Neuvirth
  65. P3 9:15Shot by Varone, saved by Luongo
  66. P3 9:53Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Neuvirth
  67. P3 10:03Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo
  68. P3 11:09Shot by Hayes, saved by Neuvirth
  69. P3 11:12Shot by Trocheck, saved by Neuvirth
  70. P3 12:54Goal by Mitchell (Moulson, Zadorov)+36 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Meszaros, Mitchell, Zadorov

  71. P3 13:39Shot by Upshall, saved by Neuvirth
  72. P3 14:02Goal by Upshall (MacKenzie, Thornton)+38 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Thornton, Campbell, MacKenzie, Upshall, Ekblad · BUF Ellis, Weber, Hodgson, Deslauriers, Ristolainen

  73. P3 14:46Shot by Bogosian, saved by Luongo
  74. P3 15:08Shot by Petrovic, saved by Neuvirth
  75. P3 16:06Shot by Jokinen, saved by Neuvirth
  76. P3 16:29Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Neuvirth
  77. P3 19:43Goal by MacKenzie (Boyes, Jokinen)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, MacKenzie, Boyes, Jokinen, Ekblad · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Mitchell, Stewart, Bogosian, Zadorov

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final