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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 3, 2015·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Calgary Flames 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 76% of the time.

PHI winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Hudler, saved by Mason
  3. P1 2:24Shot by Backlund, saved by Mason
  4. P1 2:40Shot by Jones, saved by Mason
  5. P1 3:43Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Ramo
  6. P1 3:50Shot by Raffl, saved by Ramo
  7. P1 4:37Shot by Backlund, saved by Mason
  8. P1 4:42Shot by Bouma, saved by Mason
  9. P1 5:04Shot by Jooris, saved by Mason
  10. P1 6:30Goal by Monahan (Raymond, Hudler)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, Streit, VandeVelde, Del Zotto, Bellemare · CGY Engelland, Hudler, Raymond, Brodie, Monahan

  11. P1 6:48Shot by Wideman, saved by Mason
  12. P1 7:17Shot by Hudler, saved by Mason
  13. P1 8:57Shot by Giroux, saved by Ramo
  14. P1 9:42Shot by Giroux, saved by Ramo
  15. P1 10:48Shot by Diaz, saved by Mason
  16. P1 11:33Shot by Engelland, saved by Mason
  17. P1 13:43Shot by Brodie, saved by Mason
  18. P1 14:29Shot by Giroux, saved by Ramo
  19. P1 14:32Shot by Streit, saved by Ramo
  20. P1 16:34Shot by Streit, saved by Ramo
  21. P1 16:53Shot by Bellemare, saved by Ramo
  22. P1 17:35Shot by MacDonald, saved by Ramo
  23. P1 18:31Shot by Couturier, saved by Ramo
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 2:08Shot by Read, saved by Ramo
  27. P2 2:17Shot by Shore, saved by Mason
  28. P2 2:44Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Ramo
  29. P2 3:32Shot by Raymond, saved by Mason
  30. P2 4:12Shot by Schenn, saved by Ramo
  31. P2 4:58Goal by Backlund (Bouma, Poirier)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Simmonds, Raffl · CGY Wideman, Russell, Backlund, Bouma, Poirier

  32. P2 6:00Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Ramo
  33. P2 6:13Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mason
  34. P2 7:07Shot by Raffl, saved by Ramo
  35. P2 7:43Raffl: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Del Zotto, Raffl · CGY Wideman, Jones, Russell, Backlund, Bouma

  36. P2 8:07Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Ramo4v5
  37. P2 12:08Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Ramo
  38. P2 12:40Shot by Wideman, saved by Mason
  39. P2 13:24Colborne: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Del Zotto, Schenn, Read · CGY Engelland, Colborne, Brodie, Gaudreau, Jooris

  40. P2 13:56Shot by Simmonds, saved by Ramo5v4
  41. P2 14:07Shot by Schenn, saved by Ramo5v4
  42. P2 15:48Shot by Bellemare, saved by Ramo
  43. P2 18:27Raymond: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Del Zotto, Raffl · CGY Engelland, Hudler, Raymond, Brodie, Monahan

  44. P2 19:37Shot by Voracek, saved by Ramo5v4
  45. P2 19:38Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ramo5v4
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:33Shot by Giroux, saved by Ramo
  49. P3 0:47Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ramo
  50. P3 0:53Goal by Couturier (White)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI White, MacDonald, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier · CGY Engelland, Hudler, Raymond, Brodie, Monahan

  51. P3 1:10Del Zotto: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI White, MacDonald, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier · CGY Engelland, Brodie, Shore, Gaudreau, Poirier

  52. P3 2:23Shot by Wideman, saved by Mason4v5
  53. P3 3:18Shot by Diaz, saved by Mason
  54. P3 4:02Shot by Simmonds, saved by Ramo
  55. P3 4:56Shot by Couturier, saved by Ramo
  56. P3 6:42Shot by Wideman, saved by Mason
  57. P3 7:48Shot by Backlund, saved by Mason
  58. P3 7:56Shot by Russell, saved by Mason
  59. P3 8:15Goal by Streit (Raffl, Giroux)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Raffl · CGY Potter, Russell, Colborne, Ferland, Jooris

  60. P3 9:46Shot by Bouma, saved by Mason
  61. P3 10:24Shot by Umberger, saved by Ramo
  62. P3 11:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Ramo
  63. P3 14:21Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ramo
  64. P3 14:31Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ramo
  65. P3 14:48Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Ramo
  66. P3 16:09Shot by Voracek, saved by Ramo
  67. P3 16:48Shot by White, saved by Ramo
  68. P3 16:34Shot by Bouma, saved by Mason
  69. P3 18:04Shot by Couturier, saved by Ramo
  70. P3 18:56Shot by Giroux, saved by Ramo
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 0:59Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mason4v4
  74. OT 1:23Goal by Hudler (Brodie, Gaudreau)4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Del Zotto, Schenn, Read · CGY Engelland, Hudler, Brodie, Gaudreau

  75. OT 1:23Period end
  76. OT 1:23Final