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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 3, 2015·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Florida Panthers 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Florida Panthers

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 70% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Kulikov, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Holland, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 1:52Shot by Lupul, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 1:59Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  6. P1 2:39Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Luongo
  7. P1 2:40Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 2:55Campbell: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik

  9. P1 3:09Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Luongo4v5
  10. P1 3:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Luongo4v5
  11. P1 5:18Shot by Jagr, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 5:19Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 6:31Shot by Pirri, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 7:43Shot by Kampfer, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 7:58Shot by Petrovic, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 8:14Shot by Kadri, saved by Luongo
  17. P1 9:03Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Luongo
  18. P1 9:47Shot by Robidas, saved by Luongo
  19. P1 11:37Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 12:36Shot by Kopecky, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 13:55Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  22. P1 13:56Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  23. P1 14:58Shot by Booth, saved by Luongo
  24. P1 15:56Shot by Komarov, saved by Luongo
  25. P1 16:51Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 17:46Shot by Kessel, saved by Luongo
  27. P1 18:07Shot by Lupul, saved by Luongo
  28. P1 19:34Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Bernier
  29. P1 19:42Goal by Pirri (Hayes, Trocheck)+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Hayes, Kulikov, Pirri, Gudbranson, Trocheck · TOR Phaneuf, Polak, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:57Shot by Kampfer, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 1:43Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 3:47Hayes: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, MacKenzie, Kampfer, Petrovic, Huberdeau · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Erixon, Kadri, Panik

  35. P2 4:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Montoya4v5
  36. P2 4:40Goal by Bozak (Phaneuf, Kessel)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Kopecky, Kulikov, Gudbranson · TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly

  37. P2 4:49Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 6:15Shot by Holland, saved by Montoya
  39. P2 10:02Shot by Komarov, saved by Montoya
  40. P2 10:18Shot by Kulikov, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 10:25Shot by Kopecky, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 10:28Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 11:21Kessel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Upshall, Kampfer, Petrovic, Huberdeau, Barkov · TOR Polak, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly

  44. P2 11:50Shot by Smith, saved by Montoya5v4
  45. P2 12:34Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Bernier5v4
  46. P2 12:35Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier5v4
  47. P2 13:12Goal by Ekblad (Hayes, Huberdeau)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Hayes, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · TOR Polak, Holland, Panik, Rielly

  48. P2 13:52Shot by Booth, saved by Montoya
  49. P2 14:03Lupul: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Kopecky, Upshall, Kampfer, Petrovic · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Booth, Gardiner, Holland

  50. P2 14:56Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier5v4
  51. P2 15:02Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Bernier5v4
  52. P2 18:26Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Bernier
  53. P2 18:32Shot by Kulikov, saved by Bernier
  54. P2 19:11Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 19:54Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Montoya
  56. P2 19:55Shot by Komarov, saved by Montoya
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:22Goal by Kadri (Gardiner, Panik)+26 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik

  60. P3 1:33Shot by Booth, saved by Montoya
  61. P3 1:35Shot by Holland, saved by Montoya
  62. P3 1:57Shot by Barkov, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 3:13Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Montoya
  64. P3 3:15Shot by Sill, saved by Montoya
  65. P3 4:18Shot by Kopecky, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 5:26Shot by Booth, saved by Montoya
  67. P3 5:28Goal by Holland (Booth)+27 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Boyes, Jokinen, Kampfer, Petrovic, Bjugstad · TOR Lupul, Booth, Polak, Holland, Rielly

  68. P3 7:17Shot by Barkov, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 7:44Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 7:52Shot by Barkov, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 8:43Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 9:05Shot by Campbell, saved by Bernier
  73. P3 10:52Kadri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Upshall, Pirri, Trocheck, Ekblad · TOR Komarov, Kessel, Erixon, Kadri, Rielly

  74. P3 11:02Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bernier5v4
  75. P3 11:11Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier5v4
  76. P3 12:34Shot by Pirri, saved by Bernier5v4
  77. P3 12:37Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bernier5v4
  78. P3 12:46Shot by Jagr, saved by Bernier5v4
  79. P3 14:13Shot by Lupul, saved by Luongo
  80. P3 14:37Shot by Lupul, saved by Luongo
  81. P3 14:46Shot by Booth, saved by Luongo
  82. P3 17:08Shot by Trocheck, saved by Bernier
  83. P3 18:49Shot by Jagr, saved by Bernier6v5
  84. P3 19:05Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier6v5
  85. P3 19:07Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier6v5
  86. P3 19:38Shot by Jagr, saved by Bernier6v5
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final