Thu, Mar 5, 2015·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 2, Arizona Coyotes 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 011 | 010 | 211 | 02 | 0 | 234 |
| ARI | 111 | 02 | 115 | 07 | 1 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:00ARITobias RiederAssists: Sam Gagner, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.38 xG0–1
- P3 2:31ARIB.J. CrombeenAssists: Tye McGinn, Joe Vitale · Wrist, 0.34 xG0–2
- P3 12:21VANChris HigginsAssists: Jannik Hansen, Luca Sbisa · Backhand, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 19:06VANRadim VrbataAssists: Dan Hamhuis, Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. ARI Sam Gagner scored
- 2. VAN Nick Bonino stopped
- 3. ARI Mark Arcobello stopped
- 4. VAN Radim Vrbata stopped
- 5. ARI Shane Doan stopped
- 6. VAN Chris Higgins stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:35VANNick Bonino: Holding2 min
- P1 9:13ARISam Gagner: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 16:16ARIB.J. Crombeen: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 17:35VANLuca Sbisa: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:35ARIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:27ARIMartin Erat: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Chipchura won the faceoff against Bonino
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestVrbata – Dorsett – Bonino9:30
xG 0.62–0.15 (81%)attempts 20–7goals 0–0
- Higgins – Burrows – Matthias6:24
xG 0.31–0.09 (78%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Kassian9:03
xG 0.10–0.06 (63%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows2:05
xG 0.00–0.19 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Clendening2:22
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Sbisa12:35
xG 0.45–0.30 (60%)attempts 18–5goals 0–0
- Edler – Clendening2:48
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMoss – Korpikoski – Cunningham8:36
xG 0.49–0.16 (76%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Crombeen – Vitale – McGinn3:43
xG 0.41–0.08 (83%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Gagner – Arcobello – Rieder12:39
xG 0.77–0.45 (63%)attempts 15–9goals 1–1
- Doan – Erat – Chipchura12:24
xG 0.34–0.18 (66%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStone – Ekman-Larsson19:41
xG 0.87–0.48 (64%)attempts 17–18goals 1–0
- Campbell – Dahlbeck12:09
xG 0.67–0.40 (63%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Moore – Murphy12:28
xG 0.11–0.32 (25%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).