Fri, Mar 6, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 83% of the time.
75%
10%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:16 | 0.04 | 40.6% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.03 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.04 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.03 | 7.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.11 | 40.1% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.03 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.08 | 28.1% | +17.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.14 | 32.4% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.05 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:36 | 0.04 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.11 | 32.4% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.04 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.05 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.06 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:45 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:33 | 0.17 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.78 | −0.2 | 58:47 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 28:06 | 0.31 | 79.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:37 | 0.09 | 79.1% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.10 | 78.2% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.02 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.19 | 86.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:04 | 0.39 | 78.4% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:09 | 0.35 | 86.2% | +43.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.34 | 79.9% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.41 | 86.1% | +43.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.03 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.02 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.11 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:21 | 0.10 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.04 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.01 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:40 | 0.25 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 1.00 | −1.0 | 60:00 |