Fri, Mar 6, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 83% of the time.
75%
10%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Moulson–Ennis–Varone | Hodgson–Deslauriers–Larsson | Gionta–Foligno–Grigorenko | Ellis–D'Amigo–Schaller | Gionta–Foligno–Schaller | Benoit–Bogosian | Weber–Ristolainen | Meszaros–Zadorov | Weber–Bogosian | Bogosian–Ristolainen | Ristolainen–Zadorov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michalek–Turris–Stone | 4:340.38–0.03 | 2:040.09–0.00 | 1:550.54–0.00 | 1:060.05–0.05 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 5:290.73–0.07 | 3:410.04–0.00 | 1:510.30–0.05 | 1:010.00–0.00 | ||
| Ryan–Hoffman–Zibanejad | 5:160.39–0.24 | 1:140.00–0.01 | 3:250.27–0.00 | 1:030.25–0.00 | 2:530.00–0.21 | 6:100.80–0.04 | 1:590.16–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||
| Condra–Pageau–Lazar | 1:310.02–0.02 | 3:560.16–0.01 | 2:440.00–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:500.05–0.00 | 1:110.02–0.04 | 1:380.04–0.00 | 5:360.11–0.08 | 0:590.05–0.00 | ||
| Legwand–Chiasson–Puempel | 2:320.01–0.02 | 2:280.04–0.16 | 0:530.11–0.00 | 3:410.10–0.14 | 1:290.11–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.02 | ||||
| Methot–Karlsson | 7:080.45–0.29 | 4:590.30–0.04 | 3:320.69–0.10 | 1:160.30–0.00 | 9:220.79–0.39 | 3:270.35–0.07 | 4:510.61–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.01 | |||
| Wiercioch–Ceci | 1:300.19–0.00 | 2:300.00–0.03 | 4:130.17–0.06 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 2:270.16–0.00 | 2:140.04–0.01 | 4:470.48–0.01 | 3:160.01–0.13 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:500.03–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 |
| Gryba–Borowiecki | 2:210.10–0.00 | 4:150.13–0.01 | 2:080.00–0.03 | 2:020.05–0.02 | 2:300.04–0.06 | 4:120.13–0.00 | 3:510.11–0.05 | 1:140.00–0.02 | |||
| Karlsson–Borowiecki | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gryba–Wiercioch | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Karlsson–Wiercioch |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 28:06 | 1:02 | 2:47 | 8 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 32 | 25:16 | 0:47 | 2:01 | 2 | 6 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 25 | 21:44 | 0:52 | 1:54 | 1 | 4 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 24 | 21:39 | 0:54 | 1:43 | 5 | 6 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 26 | 21:37 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 8 | 1 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 21:17 | 0:49 | 1:54 | 1 | 5 |
 Andre BenoitBUF | 27 | 20:32 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 23 | 19:42 | 0:51 | 2:04 | 5 | 2 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 25 | 19:24 | 0:47 | 1:53 | 4 | 1 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 24 | 19:19 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 5 | 1 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 22 | 19:04 | 0:52 | 1:29 | 6 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 23 | 18:34 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 4 | 6 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 24 | 18:09 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 6 | 1 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 21 | 17:48 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 6 | 2 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 23 | 16:58 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 5 | 1 |
 Andrej MeszarosBUF | 21 | 16:28 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 1 | 8 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 22 | 16:27 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 7 | 1 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 21 | 16:21 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 21 | 15:38 | 0:45 | 1:48 | 1 | 3 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 22 | 15:14 | 0:42 | 1:58 | 3 | 4 |
 Nikita ZadorovBUF | 19 | 14:53 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 7 |
 Eric GrybaOTT | 22 | 14:47 | 0:40 | 1:58 | 5 | 5 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 18 | 14:36 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 0 | 4 |
 Phil VaroneBUF | 21 | 14:25 | 0:41 | 2:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 14:21 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 0 | 5 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 18 | 14:19 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 21 | 14:01 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 4 | 4 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 18 | 13:54 | 0:46 | 2:04 | 5 | 3 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 14 | 13:42 | 0:59 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 18 | 12:21 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 5 | 3 |
 Tim SchallerBUF | 16 | 12:10 | 0:46 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 |
 David LegwandOTT | 15 | 11:51 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 0 | 1 |
 Alex ChiassonOTT | 15 | 10:38 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Jerry D'AmigoBUF | 11 | 8:45 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt PuempelOTT | 13 | 8:40 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 12 | 8:33 | 0:43 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |