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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 8, 2015·Prudential Center, Newark

Philadelphia Flyers 2, New Jersey Devils 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 62% of the time.

NJD winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:57Shot by Gionta, saved by Mason
  3. P1 3:05Shot by Merrill, saved by Mason
  4. P1 4:05Shot by Couturier, saved by Kinkaid
  5. P1 4:49Goal by Henrique (Gomez, Bernier)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Gomez, Bernier, Greene, Henrique, Larsson · PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, Rinaldo, Bellemare

  6. P1 5:03Colaiacovo: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Ruutu, Harrold, Josefson, Merrill, Severson · PHI Umberger, Colaiacovo, White, Schenn, Raffl

  7. P1 7:42Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Kinkaid
  8. P1 7:45Goal by White (Schenn)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Gomez, Bernier, Fraser, Henrique, Gelinas · PHI Umberger, Colaiacovo, White, Schenn, Raffl

  9. P1 8:18Shot by Merrill, saved by Mason
  10. P1 9:45Shot by Bellemare, saved by Kinkaid
  11. P1 10:01Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Kinkaid
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Raffl, saved by Kinkaid
  13. P1 10:32Shot by Josefson, saved by Mason
  14. P1 11:59Shot by Simmonds, saved by Kinkaid
  15. P1 14:53Shot by Raffl, saved by Kinkaid
  16. P1 18:23Shot by Fraser, saved by Mason
  17. P1 19:23Shot by Read, saved by Kinkaid
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:24Shot by Voracek, saved by Kinkaid
  21. P2 1:28Shot by Simmonds, saved by Kinkaid
  22. P2 2:35Shot by Schultz, saved by Kinkaid
  23. P2 2:51Larsson: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NJD Ruutu, Greene, Harrold, Josefson, Larsson · PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, Giroux, Rinaldo, Bellemare

  24. P2 3:32Shot by Gionta, saved by Mason4v5
  25. P2 3:32Goal by Josefson (Gionta, Greene)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Fraser, Greene, Gionta, Josefson · PHI Streit, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Couturier

  26. P2 4:31Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  27. P2 4:34Fraser: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Elias, Zubrus, Fraser, Greene · PHI Umberger, Colaiacovo, MacDonald, Read, Couturier

  28. P2 5:35Shot by Giroux, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  29. P2 6:26Shot by MacDonald, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  30. P2 7:10Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Kinkaid
  31. P2 7:26Zajac: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Cammalleri, Tootoo, Zajac, Fraser, Gelinas · PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, Simmonds, Bellemare

  32. P2 8:47Shot by Read, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  33. P2 9:26Shot by Read, saved by Kinkaid
  34. P2 13:43Shot by Larsson, saved by Mason
  35. P2 14:30Shot by Merrill, saved by Mason
  36. P2 16:08Shot by Ruutu, saved by Mason
  37. P2 16:13Shot by Merrill, saved by Mason
  38. P2 17:41Shot by Elias, saved by Mason
  39. P2 17:42Manning: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Elias, Zubrus, Greene, Gionta, Larsson · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning

  40. P2 18:09Goal by Gelinas (Gomez, Bernier)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Gomez, Cammalleri, Bernier, Henrique, Gelinas · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, MacDonald, Bellemare

  41. P2 18:31White: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Ruutu, Greene, Harrold, Josefson, Larsson · PHI Umberger, Colaiacovo, White, Schenn, Raffl

  42. P2 19:53Shot by Josefson, saved by Mason5v4
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 2:17Shot by White, saved by Kinkaid
  46. P3 4:13Shot by Giroux, saved by Kinkaid
  47. P3 4:24Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Kinkaid
  48. P3 5:04Shot by Read, saved by Kinkaid
  49. P3 5:22Shot by Couturier, saved by Kinkaid
  50. P3 5:31Goal by Henrique (Bernier)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Gomez, Bernier, Fraser, Henrique, Gelinas · PHI Streit, Schultz, Umberger, White, Raffl

  51. P3 7:30Shot by Zajac, saved by Mason
  52. P3 10:55Couturier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Cammalleri, Tootoo, Zajac, Merrill, Severson · PHI Streit, Schultz, Voracek, Read, Couturier

  53. P3 11:35Shot by Gelinas, saved by Mason5v4
  54. P3 11:44Goal by Raffl (White, Mason)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Elias, Gomez, Cammalleri, Bernier, Gelinas · PHI White, MacDonald, Manning, Raffl

  55. P3 13:00Shot by Zajac, saved by Mason
  56. P3 13:31Goal by Gionta (Elias, Greene)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Elias, Zubrus, Greene, Gionta, Severson · PHI Streit, Giroux, MacDonald, Schenn, Couturier

  57. P3 14:58Shot by Ruutu, saved by Mason
  58. P3 15:29Shot by Umberger, saved by Kinkaid
  59. P3 16:42Fraser: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Cammalleri, Tootoo, Zajac, Fraser, Gelinas · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds

  60. P3 16:42VandeVelde: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Cammalleri, Tootoo, Zajac, Fraser, Gelinas · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds

  61. P3 17:18Shot by Voracek, saved by Kinkaid4v4
  62. P3 19:22Shot by Couturier, saved by Kinkaid
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final