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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 9, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Islanders 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)

Away

New York Islanders

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:42Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 2:18Shot by Martin, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 3:02Lee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Kessel, Sill, Kozun, Rielly · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Lee

  5. P1 3:09Shot by Kessel, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  6. P1 3:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  7. P1 3:51van Riemsdyk: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · NYI Clutterbuck, Hamonic, de Haan, Cizikas

  8. P1 4:07Shot by Lupul, saved by Neuvirth4v4
  9. P1 5:24Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier4v5
  10. P1 6:37Shot by Martin, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 6:44Shot by de Haan, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 6:52Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 9:15Shot by Strome, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 9:17Strome: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Holland, Panik · NYI Visnovsky, Nielsen, Kulemin, Hickey, Strome

  15. P1 10:17Clutterbuck: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · NYI Clutterbuck, Grabner, Hickey, de Haan

  16. P1 10:29Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Neuvirth5v3
  17. P1 10:30Shot by Bozak, saved by Neuvirth5v3
  18. P1 10:49Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Neuvirth5v3
  19. P1 13:10Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 13:39Shot by Panik, saved by Neuvirth
  21. P1 15:31Shot by Kulemin, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 16:34Shot by Sill, saved by Neuvirth
  23. P1 17:12Shot by Cizikas, saved by Bernier
  24. P1 17:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Neuvirth
  25. P1 18:23Goal by Booth (Gardiner)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lupul, Booth, Smith, Rielly · NYI Nielsen, Boychuk, Kulemin, Leddy, Strome

  26. P1 18:52Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Bernier
  27. P1 19:43Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Bernier
  28. P1 19:58Shot by Booth, saved by Neuvirth
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P1 19:59Shot by Smith, saved by Neuvirth
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:25Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 1:17Shot by Strome, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 2:04Shot by Kessel, saved by Neuvirth
  35. P2 4:14Shot by Lupul, saved by Neuvirth
  36. P2 5:57Shot by Martin, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 6:16Erixon: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Sill, Erixon, Kozun, Granberg · NYI Clutterbuck, Hamonic, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas

  38. P2 9:36Shot by Hickey, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 9:45Shot by Tavares, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 9:50Shot by Tavares, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 10:15Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 10:24Shot by Panik, saved by Neuvirth
  43. P2 10:27Goal by Holland (Panik, van Riemsdyk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland, Panik · NYI Bailey, Hamonic, Tavares, de Haan, Lee

  44. P2 11:50Kessel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Bozak, Erixon, Granberg · NYI Nielsen, Boychuk, Kulemin, Leddy, Strome

  45. P2 13:31Shot by Boychuk, saved by Bernier4v5
  46. P2 14:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Neuvirth
  47. P2 14:23Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 14:28Shot by de Haan, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 15:30Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Holland, Panik, Rielly · NYI Visnovsky, Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Lee

  50. P2 16:05Phaneuf: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · NYI Nielsen, Boychuk, Kennedy, Kulemin, Hickey

  51. P2 18:15Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Neuvirth
  52. P2 18:32Shot by Martin, saved by Bernier
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:13Shot by Kessel, saved by Neuvirth
  56. P3 1:32Goal by Kennedy (Tavares, Bailey)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak · NYI Visnovsky, Kennedy, Bailey, Tavares, de Haan

  57. P3 2:51Shot by Lee, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 5:22Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 6:06Goal by van Riemsdyk, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland, Panik · NYI Kennedy, Hickey, Bailey, Hamonic, Tavares

  60. P3 6:35Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Neuvirth
  61. P3 7:32Shot by Martin, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 7:51Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 7:53Shot by Kulemin, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 9:29Booth: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Booth, Komarov, Smith, Rielly · NYI Boychuk, Hickey, Lee, Nelson, Strome

  65. P3 9:49Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bernier4v5
  66. P3 9:56Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier4v5
  67. P3 9:58Goal by Nielsen (Lee, Bailey)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Smith, Granberg · NYI Nielsen, Bailey, Hamonic, Tavares, Lee

  68. P3 10:10Shot by Cizikas, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 10:11Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 10:28Goal by Cizikas (Hamonic)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Sill, Erixon, Kozun, Granberg · NYI Clutterbuck, Hamonic, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas

  71. P3 11:59Shot by Holland, saved by Neuvirth
  72. P3 12:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Neuvirth
  73. P3 13:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 14:12Shot by Booth, saved by Neuvirth
  75. P3 9:57Shot by Lee, saved by Bernier4v5
  76. P3 17:27Shot by Cizikas, saved by Bernier
  77. P3 18:25Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bernier
  78. P3 19:53Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
  79. P3 19:59Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bernier
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 3:32Shot by Brewer, saved by Neuvirth4v4
  83. OT 4:12Shot by Boychuk, saved by Bernier4v4
  84. OT 4:38Goal by Tavares (Kennedy, Hamonic)4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Erixon, Panik, Rielly · NYI Boychuk, Kennedy, Hamonic, Tavares

  85. OT 4:38Period end
  86. OT 4:38Final