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Fri, Mar 13, 2015·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Calgary Flames 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 59% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Hudler, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 3:00Shot by Panik, saved by Hiller
  4. P1 3:55Shot by Bouma, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 4:47Shot by Wideman, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 4:53Shot by Shore, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 5:02Shot by Monahan, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 5:06Goal by Gaudreau (Hudler, Monahan)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Gaudreau, Monahan · TOR Booth, Komarov, Smith, Brennan, MacWilliam

  9. P1 5:30Shot by Bollig, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 6:17Shot by Wideman, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 7:05Shot by Brodie, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 7:07Goal by Shore (Brodie, Raymond)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Raymond, Colborne, Brodie, Shore · TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Brennan, MacWilliam, Bozak

  13. P1 7:37Shot by Jones, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 7:59Bollig: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Schlemko, Bollig, Ferland, Diaz · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Smith, Panik, Rielly

  15. P1 8:47Goal by Panik (Rielly, Gardiner)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Stajan, Colborne, Brodie · TOR Lupul, Gardiner, Holland, Panik, Rielly

  16. P1 10:05Bouma: Kneeing (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Jones, Schlemko, Backlund, Bouma, Diaz · TOR Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Sill, Kozun

  17. P1 10:05Bouma: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Jones, Schlemko, Backlund, Bouma, Diaz · TOR Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Sill, Kozun

  18. P1 10:05Sill: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Jones, Schlemko, Backlund, Bouma, Diaz · TOR Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Sill, Kozun

  19. P1 10:05Bouma: Game misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Jones, Schlemko, Backlund, Bouma, Diaz · TOR Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Sill, Kozun

  20. P1 11:40Goal by Backlund, unassisted4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Backlund, Colborne, Brodie · TOR Lupul, Gardiner, Holland, Panik, Rielly

  21. P1 11:51Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hiller4v5
  22. P1 12:31Shot by Kessel, saved by Hiller4v5
  23. P1 14:17Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hiller4v5
  24. P1 14:38Goal by Monahan (Brodie, Engelland)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Colborne, Brodie, Monahan · TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Brennan, Bozak

  25. P1 18:26Shot by Booth, saved by Hiller
  26. P1 19:54Shot by Colborne, saved by Reimer
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:39Shot by Panik, saved by Hiller
  30. P2 1:03Shot by Lupul, saved by Hiller
  31. P2 1:29Goal by Monahan (Hudler, Gaudreau)+4 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Gaudreau, Monahan · TOR Brewer, Lupul, Kessel, Bozak, Rielly

  32. P2 4:56Goal by Booth (Komarov, Brewer)+3 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Raymond, Schlemko, Colborne, Shore, Diaz · TOR Brewer, Booth, Komarov, Smith, Brennan

  33. P2 6:37Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hiller
  34. P2 7:09Rielly: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Gaudreau, Monahan · TOR Brewer, Lupul, Kessel, Bozak, Rielly

  35. P2 8:08Shot by Wideman, saved by Reimer5v4
  36. P2 8:16Goal by Hudler (Wideman, Gaudreau)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Gaudreau, Monahan · TOR Brewer, Smith, Gardiner, Panik

  37. P2 9:27Shot by Schlemko, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 10:34Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hiller
  39. P2 11:27Shot by Kessel, saved by Hiller
  40. P2 11:53Shot by Bozak, saved by Hiller
  41. P2 13:23Shot by Holland, saved by Hiller
  42. P2 13:30Shot by Holland, saved by Hiller
  43. P2 13:50Shot by Schlemko, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 14:46Kozun: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Stajan, Raymond, Brodie, Shore · TOR Lindstrom, Brennan, MacWilliam, Bozak, Kozun

  45. P2 16:27Colborne: Illegal check to head (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Raymond, Backlund, Colborne, Brodie, Diaz · TOR Phaneuf, MacWilliam, Sill, Panik

  46. P2 16:36Shot by Bozak, saved by Hiller4v4
  47. P2 16:49Shot by Brennan, saved by Hiller4v5
  48. P2 16:56Shot by Engelland, saved by Reimer4v5
  49. P2 17:40Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hiller4v5
  50. P2 18:23Shot by Holland, saved by Hiller4v5
  51. P2 18:43Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hiller
  52. P2 19:43Shot by Panik, saved by Hiller
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:29Goal by Booth (Gardiner, Phaneuf)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Jones, Backlund, Brodie, Ferland · TOR Phaneuf, Booth, Smith, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner

  56. P3 2:15Shot by Brewer, saved by Hiller
  57. P3 2:46Ferland: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Schlemko, Bollig, Ferland, Diaz · TOR Lindstrom, Brennan, MacWilliam, Sill, Kozun

  58. P3 2:46Brennan: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Schlemko, Bollig, Ferland, Diaz · TOR Lindstrom, Brennan, MacWilliam, Sill, Kozun

  59. P3 4:15Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Reimer4v4
  60. P3 4:47Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hiller
  61. P3 6:36Shot by Raymond, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 7:21Hudler: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Gaudreau, Monahan · TOR Brewer, Kessel, Bozak, Panik, Rielly

  63. P3 7:50Shot by Monahan, saved by Reimer4v5
  64. P3 8:26Shot by Bozak, saved by Hiller4v5
  65. P3 9:23Shot by Holland, saved by Hiller
  66. P3 9:31Shot by Backlund, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 13:34Shot by Ferland, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 13:49Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 16:20Shot by Monahan, saved by Reimer
  70. P3 17:10Shot by Bollig, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 18:15Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hiller
  72. P3 19:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Hiller
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final