Sat, Mar 21, 2015·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Boston Bruins 1, Florida Panthers 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 012 | 17 | 08 | 00 | 0 | 127 |
| FLA | 19 | 08 | 06 | 02 | 1 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:41FLAJimmy HayesAssists: Dave Bolland, Jussi Jokinen · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–1
- P2 2:52BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Ryan Spooner, Dougie Hamilton · Slap, 0.09 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 2. FLA Jonathan Huberdeau stopped
- 3. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
- 4. FLA Brandon Pirri scored
- 5. BOS Ryan Spooner stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:37BOSDennis Seidenberg: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 10:14FLAAlexander Petrovic: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:13BOSZdeno Chara: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:52FLADave Bolland: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:30BOSDennis Seidenberg: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:22FLAErik Gudbranson: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestPaille – Bergeron – Marchand7:00
xG 0.27–0.08 (77%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak4:07
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Campbell – Talbot – Ferlin6:24
xG 0.07–0.09 (46%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Lucic – Spooner – Pastrnak8:01
xG 0.33–0.46 (42%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McQuaid6:36
xG 0.20–0.08 (72%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Bartkowski7:18
xG 0.19–0.07 (72%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – McQuaid2:34
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestJokinen – Bolland – Hayes8:44
xG 0.48–0.02 (96%)attempts 11–2goals 1–0
- Thornton – MacKenzie – Upshall6:46
xG 0.35–0.04 (89%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Boyes – Pirri – Bjugstad7:50
xG 0.04–0.22 (17%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Jagr – Huberdeau – Barkov13:19
xG 0.10–0.73 (12%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – Ekblad13:35
xG 0.32–0.13 (72%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Mitchell – Gudbranson14:48
xG 0.28–0.37 (43%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Petrovic15:12
xG 0.42–0.61 (41%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).