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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 23, 2015·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Buffalo Sabres 3, Dallas Stars 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.

DAL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lindback
  3. P1 1:22Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback
  5. P1 4:06Shot by Varone, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 5:01Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 7:20Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Lehtonen
  8. P1 7:32Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonen
  9. P1 9:09Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen
  10. P1 9:22Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback
  11. P1 9:34Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehtonen
  12. P1 10:09Shot by Nemeth, saved by Lindback
  13. P1 10:31Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback
  14. P1 11:50Shot by Spezza, saved by Lindback
  15. P1 12:11Shot by Eaves, saved by Lindback
  16. P1 12:58Shot by Sceviour, saved by Lindback
  17. P1 13:39Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 13:39Goal by Gionta (Foligno, Grigorenko)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Demers, Benn, Eakin, Seguin · BUF Gionta, Weber, Foligno, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  19. P1 14:16Shot by Spezza, saved by Lindback
  20. P1 14:53Hodgson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Sceviour, Roussel, Nemeth, Klingberg · BUF Meszaros, Hodgson, Deslauriers, Varone, Zadorov

  21. P1 15:13Shot by Ritchie, saved by Lindback5v4
  22. P1 15:28Shot by Ritchie, saved by Lindback5v4
  23. P1 16:24Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lindback5v4
  24. P1 16:55Weber: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Hemsky, Fiddler, Goligoski, Demers · BUF Strachan, Weber, Hodgson, Ennis, Larsson

  25. P1 17:05Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback5v4
  26. P1 17:19Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback5v4
  27. P1 17:58Shot by Seguin, saved by Lindback5v4
  28. P1 19:07Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lindback
  29. P1 19:31Goal by Benn (Eaves, Nemeth)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Benn, Nemeth, Seguin · BUF Strachan, Meszaros, Weber, Foligno, Schaller

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:25Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 1:47Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 1:54Shot by Benoit, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 2:44Shot by Zadorov, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 2:45Shot by Schaller, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 2:44Shot by Dalpe, saved by Lehtonen
  38. P2 3:14Sceviour: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Goligoski, Sceviour, Roussel, Jokipakka · BUF Ellis, Benoit, Strachan, Dalpe, Schaller

  39. P2 3:43Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  40. P2 3:47Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  41. P2 3:49Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  42. P2 6:09Shot by Hemsky, saved by Lindback
  43. P2 7:56Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback
  44. P2 8:15Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback
  45. P2 8:36Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 10:11Ritchie: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Demers, Benn, Seguin · BUF Ellis, Weber, Dalpe, Schaller, Ristolainen

  47. P2 10:40Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lindback4v5
  48. P2 11:07Goal by Gionta (Moulson, Larsson)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Demers, Benn, Eakin · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Ennis, Larsson, Ristolainen

  49. P2 12:05Shot by Hemsky, saved by Lindback
  50. P2 12:56Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Lehtonen
  51. P2 13:32Shot by Ritchie, saved by Lindback
  52. P2 13:47Shot by Zadorov, saved by Lehtonen
  53. P2 14:22Shot by Schaller, saved by Lehtonen
  54. P2 14:57Shot by Roussel, saved by Lindback
  55. P2 16:01Shot by Spezza, saved by Lindback
  56. P2 16:31Shot by Hemsky, saved by Lindback
  57. P2 18:26Shot by Roussel, saved by Lindback
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:54Strachan: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Goligoski, McKenzie, Nemeth, Ritchie · BUF Benoit, Strachan, Ennis, Foligno, Larsson

  61. P3 1:56Goal by Benn (Goligoski)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin, Ritchie · BUF Ellis, Weber, Schaller, Ristolainen

  62. P3 2:55Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lindback
  63. P3 5:34Shot by Larsson, saved by Lehtonen
  64. P3 6:14Ritchie: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Goligoski, McKenzie, Klingberg, Ritchie · BUF Gionta, Weber, Ennis, Foligno, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  65. P3 6:45Shot by Larsson, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  66. P3 8:52Shot by Eaves, saved by Lindback
  67. P3 10:05Shot by Ritchie, saved by Lindback
  68. P3 10:52Goal by Moulson (Ennis)+31 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Benn, Eakin, Seguin, Klingberg · BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Ennis, Larsson, Zadorov

  69. P3 12:03Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 12:28Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonen
  71. P3 12:35Goal by Eaves (Seguin, Benn)+33 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Demers, Benn, Seguin · BUF Strachan, Moulson, Meszaros, Ennis, Larsson

  72. P3 12:48Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback
  73. P3 12:50Shot by Horcoff, saved by Lindback
  74. P3 13:37Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lindback
  75. P3 14:02Shot by Spezza, saved by Lindback
  76. P3 14:36Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lindback
  77. P3 16:32Shot by Eakin, saved by Lindback
  78. P3 16:46Goal by Eakin (Klingberg, Hemsky)+42 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hemsky, Goligoski, Eakin, Klingberg · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Weber, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final