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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 24, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Florida Panthers

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:03Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 4:23Shot by Stralman, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 5:47Shot by Brown, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 5:49Goal by Morrow (Brown)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Morrow, Boyle, Stralman, Hedman, Brown · FLA Campbell, Hayes, Pirri, Gudbranson, Trocheck

  6. P1 7:47Goal by Johnson (Callahan)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Namestnikov · FLA Jagr, Mitchell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov

  7. P1 8:24Kucherov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Jokinen, Bolland, Ekblad

  8. P1 8:46Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  9. P1 8:48Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  10. P1 9:34Shot by Pirri, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  11. P1 9:47Shot by Boyes, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Boyes, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  13. P1 10:25Shot by Jagr, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 10:33Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 10:53Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 11:04Shot by Brown, saved by Luongo
  17. P1 11:24Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 11:55Shot by Garrison, saved by Luongo
  19. P1 12:30Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 13:25Shot by Killorn, saved by Luongo
  21. P1 14:06Filppula: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Namestnikov · FLA Jagr, Campbell, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  22. P1 14:58Shot by Johnson, saved by Luongo4v5
  23. P1 16:16Shot by Sustr, saved by Luongo
  24. P1 18:40Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 19:27Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:11Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 0:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Luongo
  30. P2 0:43Shot by Callahan, saved by Luongo
  31. P2 5:56Shot by Jokinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 6:16Goal by Jokinen (Boyes, Gudbranson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Garrison, Stamkos, Drouin · FLA Mitchell, Boyes, Jokinen, Bolland, Gudbranson

  33. P2 6:34Goal by Pirri (Trocheck)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · FLA Hayes, Kulikov, Pirri, Petrovic, Trocheck

  34. P2 7:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Luongo
  35. P2 8:12Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 8:14Goal by Huberdeau (Barkov, Jagr)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Namestnikov · FLA Jagr, Mitchell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov

  37. P2 9:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Luongo
  38. P2 9:08Shot by Palat, saved by Luongo
  39. P2 9:42Shot by Brown, saved by Luongo
  40. P2 10:04Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 14:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Luongo
  42. P2 16:03Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 16:10Shot by Jagr, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 17:13Shot by Mitchell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:44Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P3 0:46Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 1:30Goal by Kucherov (Sustr, Palat)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Jokinen, Bolland, Ekblad

  50. P3 3:28Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 4:40Shot by Pirri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 5:25Shot by Boyle, saved by Luongo
  53. P3 6:27Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 8:37Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 9:27Shot by Jagr, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 10:06Shot by Johnson, saved by Luongo
  57. P3 11:20Shot by Boyes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 11:21Shot by Boyes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 11:51Shot by Jokinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 14:44Shot by Jagr, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 14:53Shot by Petrovic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 15:21Shot by Johnson, saved by Luongo
  63. P3 16:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Luongo
  64. P3 17:15Shot by Stralman, saved by Luongo
  65. P3 17:32Goal by Callahan (Killorn, Stamkos)+44 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · FLA Mitchell, Boyes, Jokinen, Bolland, Gudbranson

  66. P3 17:58Shot by Campbell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 18:08Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 18:31Shot by Boyle, saved by Luongo
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final