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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 25, 2015·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Dallas Stars 4, Calgary Flames 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 65% of the time.

CGY winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:22Shot by Klingberg, saved by Ramo
  3. P1 4:01Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 6:21Shot by Klingberg, saved by Ramo
  5. P1 6:28Shot by Benn, saved by Ramo
  6. P1 6:29Shot by Benn, saved by Ramo
  7. P1 6:51Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Ramo
  8. P1 8:22Granlund: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Colborne, Brodie, Granlund, Jooris · DAL Fiddler, Eaves, Demers, Benn, Roussel

  9. P1 9:22Shot by Benn, saved by Ramo4v5
  10. P1 9:27Shot by Seguin, saved by Ramo4v5
  11. P1 9:42Shot by Fiddler, saved by Ramo4v5
  12. P1 12:13Shot by Goligoski, saved by Ramo4v5
  13. P1 12:18Shot by Goligoski, saved by Ramo4v5
  14. P1 12:49Shot by Nemeth, saved by Ramo
  15. P1 13:57Shot by Granlund, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 14:57Shot by Eakin, saved by Ramo
  17. P1 16:29Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 16:39Shot by Brodie, saved by Lehtonen
  19. P1 16:44Shot by Russell, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 17:54Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 17:55Bouma: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Jones, Backlund, Bouma, Brodie · DAL Spezza, Hemsky, Eakin, Nemeth, Klingberg

  22. P1 18:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Ramo4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:47Goal by Hemsky (Nemeth, Seguin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Jones, Russell, Backlund, Bouma · DAL Hemsky, Benn, Nemeth, Seguin, Klingberg

  26. P2 1:10Shot by Goligoski, saved by Ramo
  27. P2 3:30Shot by Bouma, saved by Lehtonen
  28. P2 3:46Roussel: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Jones, Russell, Backlund, Bouma · DAL Fiddler, Goligoski, Roussel, Jokipakka, Ritchie

  29. P2 4:49Eakin: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Raymond, Russell, Backlund, Jooris · DAL Horcoff, Demers, Benn, Eakin

  30. P2 5:12Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehtonen5v3
  31. P2 5:20Shot by Hudler, saved by Lehtonen5v3
  32. P2 5:29Shot by Russell, saved by Lehtonen5v3
  33. P2 6:59Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 8:02Shot by Benn, saved by Ramo
  35. P2 9:09Shot by Diaz, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 9:21Colborne: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Raymond, Schlemko, Colborne, Diaz, Granlund · DAL Horcoff, Demers, Benn, McKenzie, Ritchie

  37. P2 9:50Shot by Seguin, saved by Ramo4v5
  38. P2 10:47Goal by Benn (Spezza, Seguin)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Russell, Bouma, Monahan · DAL Spezza, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Ritchie

  39. P2 12:30Shot by Engelland, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 12:44Goal by Gaudreau (Monahan, Hudler)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Gaudreau, Monahan · DAL Spezza, Hemsky, Goligoski, McKenzie, Jokipakka

  41. P2 13:23Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 13:34Shot by Jooris, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 13:49Goal by Engelland (Bouma)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Backlund, Bouma, Brodie, Jooris · DAL Eaves, Goligoski, Benn, Benn, Seguin

  44. P2 14:47Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ramo
  45. P2 17:47Spezza: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Hudler, Backlund, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · DAL Spezza, Hemsky, Demers, Benn, Eakin

  46. P2 18:12Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  47. P2 18:20Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  48. P2 18:39Shot by Benn, saved by Ramo5v4
  49. P2 18:58Diaz: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Raymond, Russell, Backlund, Colborne, Diaz · DAL Benn, Demers, Benn, Eakin

  50. P2 19:01Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Ramo4v4
  51. P2 19:29Shot by Brodie, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  52. P2 19:30Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  53. P2 19:44Goal by Hemsky (Horcoff)4v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Russell, Bouma, Brodie · DAL Horcoff, Hemsky, Nemeth, Klingberg

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:13Shot by Bouma, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  57. P3 3:16Backlund: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Backlund, Brodie, Bollig, Jooris · DAL Spezza, Eaves, Goligoski, Benn, Jokipakka

  58. P3 4:29Shot by Colborne, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  59. P3 4:42Shot by Seguin, saved by Ramo4v5
  60. P3 5:13Shot by Klingberg, saved by Ramo4v5
  61. P3 5:23Shot by Hemsky, saved by Ramo
  62. P3 6:40Shot by Ritchie, saved by Ramo
  63. P3 9:04Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehtonen
  64. P3 11:09Shot by Jooris, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P3 11:19Goal by Engelland (Raymond, Granlund)+32 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Raymond, Colborne, Brodie, Granlund · DAL Fiddler, Sceviour, Roussel, Nemeth, Klingberg

  66. P3 11:39McKenzie: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Raymond, Colborne, Brodie, Granlund · DAL Horcoff, McKenzie, Nemeth, Klingberg, Ritchie

  67. P3 11:44Shot by Wideman, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  68. P3 11:53Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  69. P3 12:44Shot by Hudler, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  70. P3 13:06Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  71. P3 13:37Shot by Colborne, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  72. P3 13:54Shot by Granlund, saved by Lehtonen
  73. P3 15:11Shot by Nemeth, saved by Ramo
  74. P3 16:01Shot by Engelland, saved by Lehtonen
  75. P3 16:32Shot by Seguin, saved by Ramo
  76. P3 17:30Colborne: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Raymond, Colborne, Brodie, Granlund · DAL Spezza, Hemsky, Eakin, Nemeth, Seguin, Klingberg

  77. P3 18:38Shot by Seguin, saved by Ramo4v5
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 1:02Shot by Benn, saved by Ramo4v4
  81. OT 1:34Shot by Bouma, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  82. OT 5:00Period end
  83. SO Period start
  84. SO Goal by Seguin, unassistedother
  85. SO Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehtonenother
  86. SO Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ramoother
  87. SO Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehtonenother
  88. SO Period end
  89. SO Final