Thu, Apr 9, 2015·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Arizona Coyotes 0, Vancouver Canucks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 011 | 05 | 012 | 028 |
| VAN | 110 | 315 | 17 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:22VANDaniel SedinGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Snap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 6:51VANRonalds KeninsAssists: Jannik Hansen, Bo Horvat · Wrist, 0.45 xG0–2
- P2 15:42VANYannick WeberPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.01 xG0–3
- P2 17:10VANYannick WeberPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Alexander Edler · Slap, 0.05 xG0–4
- P3 16:49VANDan HamhuisPPAssists: Chris Higgins, Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:59ARIJoe Vitale: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:51VANAlexandre Burrows: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:15VANYannick Weber: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 13:44ARIKyle Chipchura: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 15:32ARIAndrew Campbell: Closing hand on puck2 min · PPG
- P3 5:51VANDerek Dorsett: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:25VANDerek Dorsett: Boarding2 min
- P3 12:25ARITye McGinn: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:25VANDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:39ARIB.J. Crombeen: Elbowing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestArcobello – Rieder – Samuelsson8:20
xG 0.93–0.13 (88%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Crombeen – Vitale – McGinn9:09
xG 0.08–0.07 (55%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Chipchura – Szwarz – Cunningham10:40
xG 0.50–0.57 (47%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Erat – Moss – Gagner8:48
xG 0.13–0.79 (14%)attempts 2–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson19:59
xG 0.80–0.86 (48%)attempts 18–19goals 0–0
- Moore – Murphy10:46
xG 0.09–0.16 (37%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Campbell – Dahlbeck11:31
xG 0.51–0.85 (38%)attempts 8–15goals 0–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDorsett – Vey – Baertschi8:49
xG 0.17–0.08 (68%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows8:37
xG 0.36–0.30 (55%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Vrbata – Higgins – Bonino8:31
xG 0.36–0.38 (49%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Hansen – Horvat – Kenins9:53
xG 0.62–0.70 (47%)attempts 5–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Tanev12:09
xG 0.49–0.25 (66%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Weber10:48
xG 0.46–0.27 (63%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Tanev3:13
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).