Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 8, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver

Minnesota Wild 5, Colorado Avalanche 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 62% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 1:49Shot by Coyle, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:43Shot by Skille, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 2:54Shot by McLeod, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 4:11Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 6:03Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 9:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 9:47Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 11:12Shot by Carter, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 11:29Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 12:10Shot by Comeau, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 13:16Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 13:33Brodin: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, Mitchell, Barrie, MacKinnon · MIN Vanek, Coyle, Graovac, Brodin, Dumba

  15. P1 13:40Goal by Iginla (MacKinnon, Barrie)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · MIN Carter, Scandella, Haula, Dumba

  16. P1 14:54Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 16:19Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 16:21Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 16:24Koivu: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Johnson, Rendulic, Rantanen · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Niederreiter

  20. P1 17:24Goal by Johnson (Beauchemin, Soderberg)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Soderberg, Johnson, Duchene · MIN Scandella, Haula, Zucker, Brodin

  21. P1 17:47Shot by Skille, saved by Dubnyk
  22. P1 17:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  23. P1 18:55Goal by Landeskog (Beauchemin, MacKinnon)+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · MIN Vanek, Coyle, Graovac, Brodin, Dumba

  24. P1 19:39Zucker: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Duchene · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Niederreiter

  25. P1 19:39Comeau: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Duchene · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Niederreiter

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:03Shot by Brodin, saved by Varlamov4v4
  29. P2 1:10Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v4
  30. P2 1:39Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov4v4
  31. P2 2:18Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 2:48Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 3:06Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 5:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 5:59Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 6:55Goal by Parise (Granlund, Pominville)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Guenin, McLeod, Duchene, Barrie · MIN Pominville, Parise, Scandella, Granlund, Folin

  37. P2 7:13Shot by Coyle, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 8:02Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 8:07Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 8:07Goal by Mitchell (Johnson, Beauchemin)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Soderberg, McLeod, Johnson · MIN Koivu, Zucker, Niederreiter, Brodin, Dumba

  41. P2 9:01Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk
  42. P2 13:26Shot by Tanguay, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 14:04Shot by Carter, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 14:51Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P2 16:48Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 17:32Landeskog: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Holden, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Granlund

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:51Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P3 5:07Goal by Parise (Pominville, Dumba)+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · MIN Pominville, Parise, Granlund, Brodin, Dumba

  51. P3 6:37Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  52. P3 7:05Goal by Niederreiter (Zucker)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Duchene · MIN Koivu, Scandella, Zucker, Niederreiter, Folin

  53. P3 7:33Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 8:50Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  55. P3 9:02Shot by Scandella, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 9:18Goal by Vanek (Granlund, Coyle)+33 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Holden, Duchene, Landeskog, Zadorov · MIN Pominville, Vanek, Granlund, Brodin, Dumba

  57. P3 9:37Landeskog: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · MIN Pominville, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Granlund

  58. P3 10:14Goal by Parise (Suter, Koivu)4v5+30 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Soderberg, Johnson · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Suter, Parise, Granlund

  59. P3 14:01Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 14:14Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 14:37Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 16:51Shot by Carter, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 18:02Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 18:28Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final