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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 10, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Detroit Red Wings 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Detroit Red Wings

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 88% of the time.

CAR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:37Pulkkinen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Terry, Nash, Skinner, Murphy, Hanifin · DET Franzen, Kindl, Smith, Pulkkinen, Glendening

  4. P1 2:51Abdelkader: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Liles, Terry, Nash, Skinner, Murphy · DET Quincey, Abdelkader, Smith, Ferraro

  5. P1 3:16Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek5v3
  6. P1 3:18Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek5v3
  7. P1 3:48Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek5v4
  8. P1 4:31Shot by Gerbe, saved by Mrazek5v4
  9. P1 4:47Shot by Liles, saved by Mrazek5v4
  10. P1 5:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 6:05Shot by Smith, saved by Ward
  12. P1 6:30Shot by Hanifin, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 9:28Shot by Rask, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 9:37Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 10:46Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 11:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Ward
  17. P1 13:23Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 14:07Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 14:10Shot by Hainsey, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 15:12Shot by Murphy, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 18:12Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 18:26Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 18:59Shot by Murphy, saved by Mrazek6v5
  24. P1 19:00Larkin: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Terry, Nash, Skinner, Murphy, Hanifin · DET Kindl, Abdelkader, Smith, Sheahan, Larkin

  25. P1 19:00Skinner: Roughing (2 min)6v4

    On ice: CAR Staal, Terry, Nash, Skinner, Murphy, Hanifin · DET Kindl, Abdelkader, Smith, Sheahan, Larkin

  26. P1 19:00Abdelkader: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Staal, Terry, Nash, Skinner, Murphy, Hanifin · DET Kindl, Abdelkader, Smith, Sheahan, Larkin

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:39Staal: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Rask, Lindholm · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Sheahan

  30. P2 1:47Pulkkinen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Nestrasil, Faulk, Rask, Murphy · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan

  31. P2 2:34Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek5v4
  32. P2 2:54Shot by Lindholm, saved by Mrazek5v4
  33. P2 3:50Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 3:51Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 4:48Shot by Larkin, saved by Ward
  36. P2 5:48Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 6:43Shot by Ferraro, saved by Ward
  38. P2 6:59Shot by Murphy, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 7:28Franzen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Liles, Jordan, Nestrasil, Nordstrom, Rask · DET Quincey, Green, Franzen, Sheahan, Pulkkinen

  40. P2 8:21Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek5v4
  41. P2 9:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek5v4
  42. P2 9:31Shot by Nestrasil, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 10:40Shot by Lindholm, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 10:42Shot by Rask, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 10:53Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Ward
  46. P2 11:05Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 11:33Goal by Zetterberg (Larkin, Abdelkader)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Versteeg, Gerbe, Staal, Faulk · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Larkin

  48. P2 12:47Shot by Quincey, saved by Ward
  49. P2 13:08Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  50. P2 13:54Shot by Jordan, saved by Mrazek
  51. P2 15:12Goal by Rask (Hanifin)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Rask, Murphy, Lindholm, Hanifin · DET Quincey, Miller, Green, Ferraro, Glendening

  52. P2 16:00Shot by Larkin, saved by Ward
  53. P2 19:03Goal by Gerbe (Murphy)+27 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Versteeg, Gerbe, Staal, Murphy, Hanifin · DET Richards, Kronwall, Ericsson, Nyquist, Tatar

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:15Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Ward
  57. P3 0:19Shot by Larkin, saved by Ward
  58. P3 2:05Shot by Gerbe, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 2:25Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 2:26Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 3:58Shot by Sheahan, saved by Ward
  62. P3 4:39Goal by Pulkkinen, unassisted+30 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, McClement, Staal, Terry, Faulk · DET Quincey, Green, Tatar, Pulkkinen, Larkin

  63. P3 5:18Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek
  64. P3 5:38Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ward
  65. P3 5:59Shot by Franzen, saved by Ward
  66. P3 6:03Shot by Kindl, saved by Ward
  67. P3 6:36Goal by Pulkkinen (Tatar)+31 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Liles, Versteeg, Gerbe, Staal, Jordan · DET Quincey, Green, Tatar, Pulkkinen, Larkin

  68. P3 10:58Shot by Glendening, saved by Ward
  69. P3 11:28Shot by Lindholm, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 12:21Shot by Nestrasil, saved by Mrazek
  71. P3 14:44Shot by Ferraro, saved by Ward
  72. P3 15:20Shot by Hanifin, saved by Mrazek
  73. P3 15:32Shot by Hanifin, saved by Mrazek
  74. P3 16:25Goal by Abdelkader (Zetterberg, Nyquist)+9 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Terry, Nestrasil, Faulk, Skinner · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist

  75. P3 18:03Shot by Hanifin, saved by Mrazek
  76. P3 19:33Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek6v5
  77. P3 19:39Pulkkinen: High sticking double minor (4 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Nestrasil, Faulk, Lindholm · DET Quincey, Green, Tatar, Pulkkinen, Larkin

  78. P3 19:42Shot by Liles, saved by Mrazek6v4
  79. P3 19:51Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek6v4
  80. P3 19:57Goal by Faulk (Liles, Versteeg)6v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Liles, Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Skinner, Lindholm · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Glendening

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final