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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 21, 2015·TD Garden, Boston

Philadelphia Flyers 5, Boston Bruins 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 60% of the time.

BOS winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:11Shot by Medvedev, saved by Rask
  3. P1 2:19Shot by Medvedev, saved by Rask
  4. P1 2:27Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Rask
  5. P1 2:44Shot by Connolly, saved by Neuvirth
  6. P1 3:21Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Rask
  7. P1 5:12Shot by Hayes, saved by Neuvirth
  8. P1 5:59Shot by Krug, saved by Neuvirth
  9. P1 6:42Shot by Giroux, saved by Rask
  10. P1 7:17Shot by Krug, saved by Neuvirth
  11. P1 7:21Shot by Krug, saved by Neuvirth
  12. P1 7:39Shot by Couturier, saved by Rask
  13. P1 8:25Shot by Laughton, saved by Rask
  14. P1 9:14Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Neuvirth
  15. P1 9:28Shot by Bellemare, saved by Rask
  16. P1 9:28Goal by Bellemare (VandeVelde, White)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Rinaldo, Randell, Miller, Krug, Kemppainen · PHI VandeVelde, White, Del Zotto, Gudas, Bellemare

  17. P1 10:16Shot by Bergeron, saved by Neuvirth
  18. P1 11:06Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Neuvirth
  19. P1 13:03Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Rask
  20. P1 13:28Goal by Connolly (Bergeron, Marchand)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand, Connolly · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Del Zotto, Gudas, Raffl

  21. P1 15:04Goal by Gagner (Laughton, Schenn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Kelly, Hayes, Spooner, Miller · PHI Umberger, Gagner, Schenn, Laughton, Medvedev

  22. P1 15:09Shot by Laughton, saved by Rask
  23. P1 15:42Shot by Umberger, saved by Rask
  24. P1 15:49Shot by Umberger, saved by Rask
  25. P1 16:21Shot by Kemppainen, saved by Neuvirth
  26. P1 16:38Giroux: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand, Connolly, Krug · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Raffl

  27. P1 17:24Goal by Bergeron (Eriksson, Krejci)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Bergeron, Krejci, Spooner, Krug · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, Gudas, Couturier

  28. P1 18:10Shot by Schenn, saved by Rask5v4
  29. P1 19:24Shot by Chara, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  30. P1 0:00Giroux: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, McQuaid, Marchand, Hayes, Rinaldo · PHI Streit, Giroux, Read, Couturier, Medvedev

  31. P1 0:00Rinaldo: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, McQuaid, Marchand, Hayes, Rinaldo · PHI Streit, Giroux, Read, Couturier, Medvedev

  32. P1 0:00Rinaldo: Charging (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BOS Chara, McQuaid, Marchand, Hayes, Rinaldo · PHI Streit, Giroux, Read, Couturier, Medvedev

  33. P1 0:00Chara: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BOS Chara, McQuaid, Marchand, Hayes, Rinaldo · PHI Streit, Giroux, Read, Couturier, Medvedev

  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 2:51Shot by Marchand, saved by Mason4v5
  37. P2 4:31Goal by Kelly (Eriksson, Chara)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Kelly, Eriksson, McQuaid · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Raffl

  38. P2 5:12Shot by Raffl, saved by Rask
  39. P2 5:19Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Rask
  40. P2 6:20Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  41. P2 6:43Shot by Krejci, saved by Mason
  42. P2 6:51Shot by Umberger, saved by Rask
  43. P2 7:09Shot by Marchand, saved by Mason
  44. P2 7:49Shot by Marchand, saved by Mason
  45. P2 8:42Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rask
  46. P2 8:49Goal by Hayes (Krejci)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Kelly, Krejci, Hayes, Miller · PHI Streit, Schultz, Gagner, Simmonds, Read

  47. P2 9:06Shot by Voracek, saved by Rask
  48. P2 9:13Shot by Raffl, saved by Rask
  49. P2 9:25Shot by Gudas, saved by Rask
  50. P2 10:33Shot by Giroux, saved by Rask
  51. P2 11:38Shot by Hayes, saved by Mason
  52. P2 11:39Simmonds: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Bergeron, Krejci, Spooner, Krug · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, Simmonds, Schenn, Bellemare

  53. P2 14:46Shot by Laughton, saved by Rask
  54. P2 15:52Shot by Spooner, saved by Mason
  55. P2 15:57Shot by Hayes, saved by Mason
  56. P2 19:15Shot by Hayes, saved by Mason
  57. P2 19:27Shot by Raffl, saved by Rask
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:12Shot by Raffl, saved by Rask
  61. P3 0:47Shot by Krug, saved by Mason
  62. P3 2:11Shot by White, saved by Rask
  63. P3 2:52Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rask
  64. P3 3:19Shot by Giroux, saved by Rask
  65. P3 4:22Shot by Eriksson, saved by Mason
  66. P3 5:32Shot by Voracek, saved by Rask
  67. P3 5:53Shot by McQuaid, saved by Mason
  68. P3 6:34Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Mason
  69. P3 7:09Shot by Randell, saved by Mason
  70. P3 7:21Shot by Randell, saved by Mason
  71. P3 7:48Goal by Giroux (Voracek, Streit)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Miller · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Raffl

  72. P3 10:24Goal by Simmonds (Umberger, Streit)+34 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Krejci, McQuaid, Cross, Pastrnak · PHI Streit, Schultz, Umberger, Gagner, Simmonds

  73. P3 10:47Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Rask
  74. P3 14:55Shot by Medvedev, saved by Rask
  75. P3 16:01Shot by Gudas, saved by Rask
  76. P3 17:30Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Rask
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 1:16Shot by Miller, saved by Mason3v3
  80. OT 1:36Spooner: Hooking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Spooner, Miller · PHI VandeVelde, Del Zotto, Bellemare

  81. OT 2:09Goal by Giroux (Streit, Voracek)3v4+48 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, McQuaid · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds

  82. OT 2:09Period end
  83. OT 2:09Final