Tue, Oct 27, 2015·TD Garden, Boston
Arizona Coyotes 0, Boston Bruins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 07 | 012 | 05 | 024 |
| BOS | 19 | 211 | 37 | 627 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:22BOSDavid KrejciGWGAssists: Loui Eriksson, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 6:51BOSJimmy HayesAssists: Matt Beleskey, Ryan Spooner · Wrist, 0.36 xG0–2
- P2 17:29BOSJoe MorrowAssists: Matt Beleskey · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–3
- P3 10:22BOSBrett ConnollyAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–4
- P3 13:07BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Colin Miller, Jimmy Hayes · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–5
- P3 19:22BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Jimmy Hayes, Loui Eriksson · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:10ARIKlas Dahlbeck: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:58BOSColin Miller: Cross checking2 min
- P2 8:34BOSAdam McQuaid: Interference2 min
- P2 8:39ARITobias Rieder: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:56ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Interference2 min
- P3 5:21BOSDavid Pastrnak: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 11:12ARIJohn Scott: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 11:12ARIJohn Scott: Misconduct10 min
- P3 11:12ARISteve Downie: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRieder – Duclair – Gaudet6:33
xG 0.17–0.11 (60%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Gordon – Downie – Scott6:48
xG 0.12–0.09 (59%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Chipchura – Boedker – Domi6:35
xG 0.30–0.37 (45%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Chipchura – Duclair – Domi4:03
xG 0.06–0.17 (26%)attempts 2–3goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestStone – Ekman-Larsson17:37
xG 0.76–0.56 (58%)attempts 20–12goals 0–2
- Grossmann – Elliott13:10
xG 0.17–0.55 (24%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Michalek – Dahlbeck13:12
xG 0.15–0.93 (14%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBeleskey – Hayes – Spooner6:07
xG 0.69–0.18 (80%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Krejci – Pastrnak9:27
xG 0.56–0.27 (67%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Connolly10:57
xG 0.25–0.09 (74%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Krejci – Hayes2:07
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Miller9:14
xG 0.92–0.23 (80%)attempts 11–8goals 3–0
- McQuaid – Morrow8:04
xG 0.47–0.08 (86%)attempts 9–4goals 2–0
- Morrow – Miller4:30
xG 0.18–0.05 (77%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).