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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 29, 2015·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Crosby, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 0:56Goal by Dupuis (Crosby, Lovejoy)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Crosby, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Dumoulin · BUF Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  4. P1 1:29Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 2:27Shot by Cullen, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 2:53Shot by Bennett, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 3:36Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Zatkoff
  8. P1 5:38Shot by Weber, saved by Zatkoff
  9. P1 7:16Goal by Hornqvist (Crosby, Maatta)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Scuderi, Crosby, Hornqvist, Maatta · BUF Franson, O'Reilly, Foligno, Deslauriers, McCabe

  10. P1 7:25Shot by Eichel, saved by Zatkoff
  11. P1 9:15Shot by Letang, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 10:38Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 12:05Shot by Malkin, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 13:18Shot by Eichel, saved by Zatkoff
  15. P1 13:26Shot by Foligno, saved by Zatkoff
  16. P1 14:25Goal by McGinn (Schaller, Ristolainen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Scuderi, Porter, Bonino, Bennett, Maatta · BUF Legwand, Gorges, McGinn, Schaller, Ristolainen

  17. P1 15:00Shot by Moulson, saved by Zatkoff
  18. P1 15:09Shot by Gionta, saved by Zatkoff
  19. P1 16:40Goal by Deslauriers (O'Reilly, Ristolainen)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Scuderi, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Perron · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen

  20. P1 17:01Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Zatkoff
  21. P1 17:07Shot by Franson, saved by Zatkoff
  22. P1 17:55Shot by Sprong, saved by Johnson
  23. P1 18:50Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Johnson
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:45Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Zatkoff
  27. P2 0:49Shot by Franson, saved by Zatkoff
  28. P2 1:34Shot by Crosby, saved by Johnson
  29. P2 3:12Shot by Gorges, saved by Zatkoff
  30. P2 3:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 4:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 4:27Shot by Gionta, saved by Zatkoff
  33. P2 5:11Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 6:05Shot by Schaller, saved by Zatkoff
  35. P2 6:06Lovejoy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Lovejoy, Bonino, Dumoulin, Bennett · BUF Legwand, Franson, McGinn, McCabe, Schaller

  36. P2 6:29Shot by Girgensons, saved by Zatkoff4v5
  37. P2 7:07Shot by Franson, saved by Zatkoff4v5
  38. P2 7:23Shot by Larsson, saved by Zatkoff4v5
  39. P2 7:51Shot by McGinn, saved by Zatkoff4v5
  40. P2 8:11Shot by Eichel, saved by Zatkoff
  41. P2 8:18Goal by Lovejoy (Malkin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Scuderi, Malkin, Lovejoy, Maatta · BUF McGinn, Larsson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  42. P2 8:17Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Johnson
  43. P2 9:51Shot by Perron, saved by Johnson
  44. P2 9:58Shot by Scuderi, saved by Johnson
  45. P2 10:39Shot by Dupuis, saved by Johnson
  46. P2 11:13Shot by Bonino, saved by Johnson
  47. P2 11:18Shot by Letang, saved by Johnson
  48. P2 11:22Shot by Crosby, saved by Johnson
  49. P2 10:56Shot by Reinhart, saved by Zatkoff
  50. P2 12:17Shot by Eichel, saved by Zatkoff
  51. P2 13:21Shot by Pysyk, saved by Zatkoff
  52. P2 14:08Weber: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Scuderi, Crosby, Hornqvist, Maatta · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Weber, Pysyk, Girgensons

  53. P2 14:54Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson5v4
  54. P2 14:57Goal by Malkin (Hornqvist, Kessel)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · BUF Legwand, Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen

  55. P2 15:13Shot by McCabe, saved by Zatkoff
  56. P2 15:40Shot by Gionta, saved by Zatkoff
  57. P2 17:34Shot by Gorges, saved by Zatkoff
  58. P2 19:54Shot by McGinn, saved by Zatkoff
  59. P2 19:57Shot by Legwand, saved by Zatkoff
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:41Shot by Gionta, saved by Zatkoff
  63. P3 1:56Shot by Bonino, saved by Johnson
  64. P3 2:13Shot by Bonino, saved by Johnson
  65. P3 3:33Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Zatkoff
  66. P3 3:46Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Zatkoff
  67. P3 4:58Shot by Scuderi, saved by Johnson
  68. P3 5:50Shot by McGinn, saved by Zatkoff
  69. P3 5:55Shot by McGinn, saved by Zatkoff
  70. P3 6:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Zatkoff
  71. P3 6:55Shot by Reinhart, saved by Zatkoff
  72. P3 8:44Shot by Pysyk, saved by Zatkoff
  73. P3 10:20Shot by Franson, saved by Zatkoff
  74. P3 10:37Shot by Eichel, saved by Zatkoff
  75. P3 10:39Shot by Larsson, saved by Zatkoff
  76. P3 11:14Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Zatkoff
  77. P3 11:28Shot by McGinn, saved by Zatkoff
  78. P3 12:22Shot by Perron, saved by Johnson
  79. P3 14:44Shot by Schaller, saved by Zatkoff
  80. P3 15:19Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Zatkoff
  81. P3 15:51Shot by Eichel, saved by Zatkoff
  82. P3 16:27Shot by Larsson, saved by Zatkoff
  83. P3 17:13Shot by Pysyk, saved by Zatkoff
  84. P3 17:32Shot by Legwand, saved by Zatkoff5v6
  85. P3 17:34Goal by Moulson (O'Reilly, Legwand)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Malkin, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Dumoulin · BUF Legwand, Moulson, O'Reilly, Pysyk, Girgensons, McCabe

  86. P3 18:09Letang: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Kunitz, Letang, Bonino, Cole · BUF Gionta, Franson, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe

  87. P3 19:09Shot by Eichel, saved by Zatkoff4v6
  88. P3 19:23Shot by Gionta, saved by Zatkoff4v6
  89. P3 19:47Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Zatkoff4v6
  90. P3 19:54Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Zatkoff4v6
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final