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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 29, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Colorado Avalanche 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 0:54Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 1:26Shot by Holden, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 2:11Grigorenko: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Condra, Namestnikov, Sustr · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Everberg

  6. P1 3:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov5v4
  7. P1 3:58Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov5v4
  8. P1 4:50Zadorov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Carle, Garrison, Marchessault, Brown · COL Tanguay, Skille, Duchene, Barrie, Zadorov

  9. P1 5:45Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov5v4
  10. P1 5:53Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov5v4
  11. P1 6:53Shot by Garrison, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 8:15Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 11:10Shot by McLeod, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 12:10Carle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Condra, Garrison, Namestnikov · COL Skille, Holden, Duchene, Landeskog, Zadorov

  15. P1 12:46Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop4v5
  16. P1 14:09Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop4v5
  17. P1 14:53Shot by Stralman, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 15:57Goal by Tanguay (Iginla, MacKinnon)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Condra, Garrison, Namestnikov · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Guenin, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  19. P1 16:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 17:57Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 18:10Boyle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Carle, Garrison, Marchessault, Brown · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Guenin, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  22. P1 18:25Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop4v5
  23. P1 18:38Shot by Filppula, saved by Varlamov4v5
  24. P1 19:45Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 0:55Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 1:37Marchessault: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Marchessault, Sustr · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Soderberg, Johnson

  30. P2 3:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop4v5
  31. P2 3:36Shot by Johnson, saved by Bishop4v5
  32. P2 4:54Shot by Filppula, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 5:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 6:38Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 6:35Shot by McLeod, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 6:49Shot by Coburn, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 7:20Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 9:22Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 9:49Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 10:11Shot by Johnson, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 13:02Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 13:04Goal by MacKinnon (Iginla, Tanguay)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Hedman, Palat, Brown, Sustr · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Barrie, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  43. P2 13:47Shot by McLeod, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 14:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 15:09Landeskog: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Condra, Garrison, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov · COL Guenin, Skille, Duchene, Landeskog, Zadorov

  46. P2 15:27Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov5v4
  47. P2 15:37Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov5v4
  48. P2 15:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov5v4
  49. P2 15:46Goal by Killorn (Hedman, Filppula)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, McLeod, Johnson

  50. P2 16:59Shot by Holden, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 17:32Shot by Marchessault, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 18:33Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop
  53. P2 18:51Hedman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Holden, Barrie, MacKinnon

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:35Filppula: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Boyle, Garrison · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Soderberg, Barrie, MacKinnon

  57. P3 0:52Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov4v5
  58. P3 0:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  59. P3 0:58Soderberg: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Johnson, Duchene, MacKinnon

  60. P3 0:58Johnson: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Johnson, Duchene, MacKinnon

  61. P3 1:24Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov4v5
  62. P3 3:12Shot by Carle, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 4:27Stralman: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Boyle, Stralman, Hedman, Marchessault · COL Guenin, Mitchell, McLeod, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  64. P3 4:36Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov4v5
  65. P3 4:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop4v5
  66. P3 5:12Shot by Soderberg, saved by Bishop4v5
  67. P3 5:27Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop4v5
  68. P3 9:33Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 9:41Shot by Stralman, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 10:45Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop
  71. P3 10:47Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 11:28Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 11:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 11:46Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 11:50Shot by Garrison, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 13:18Duchene: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Boyle, Stralman, Marchessault · COL Skille, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog

  77. P3 14:29Shot by Kucherov, saved by Varlamov5v4
  78. P3 19:12Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov6v5
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final