Thu, Oct 29, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
11%
37%
TBL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27:20 | 0.02 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:06 | 0.09 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 20:46 | 0.33 | 74.5% | +37.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:04 | 0.12 | 74.5% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:02 | 0.03 | 87.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 19:48 | 0.47 | 73.4% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.03 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.09 | 90.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.22 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.59 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.07 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 96.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.02 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:44 | 0.23 | 87.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:55 | 0.00 | 89.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:24 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 2.38 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 22:27 | 0.30 | 54.1% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:10 | 0.30 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.04 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:00 | 0.27 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.05 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:59 | 0.57 | 63.3% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.14 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.01 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.02 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.13 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.21 | 25.4% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.04 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.10 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:55 | 0.12 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:50 | 0.09 | 82.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 1.76 | −0.2 | 58:15 |