Fri, Oct 30, 2015·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 4, Arizona Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 310 | 16 | 06 | 422 |
| ARI | 010 | 213 | 18 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:56VANJared McCannAssists: Adam Cracknell, Luca Sbisa · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 4:26VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Jake Virtanen, Luca Sbisa · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–0
- P1 10:59VANBrendan GaunceAssists: Chris Tanev, Alexander Edler · Deflected, 0.25 xG3–0
- P2 5:50ARIMax DomiAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Antoine Vermette · Backhand, 0.10 xG3–1
- P2 17:04ARISteve DownieAssists: Tyler Gaudet, Nicklas Grossmann · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
- P2 18:08VANDaniel SedinPPGWGAssists: Radim Vrbata, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 17:39ARITobias RiederAssists: Antoine Vermette, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Backhand, 0.03 xG4–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:33ARIShane Doan: Boarding2 min
- P1 18:05VANRadim Vrbata: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:43ARIShane Doan: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:16ARIConnor Murphy: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 17:45ARIZbynek Michalek: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:44VANAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Hansen – Gaunce – Horvat9:11
xG 0.29–0.34 (46%)attempts 4–10goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Vrbata10:31
xG 0.09–0.22 (29%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Burrows – Sutter – Virtanen8:31
xG 0.17–0.32 (35%)attempts 7–11goals 1–1
- Cracknell – Dorsett – McCann9:50
xG 0.40–0.64 (38%)attempts 6–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestWeber – Hutton9:18
xG 0.37–0.25 (60%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Edler – Weber2:06
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Bartkowski – Hutton2:37
xG 0.02–0.11 (15%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Richardson – Martinook9:29
xG 0.40–0.09 (82%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Vermette – Boedker – Domi5:15
xG 0.29–0.02 (95%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Vermette – Rieder – Duclair8:21
xG 0.30–0.13 (70%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Gordon – Downie – Gaudet7:44
xG 0.36–0.23 (61%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestStone – Ekman-Larsson18:39
xG 0.62–0.38 (62%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Michalek – Dahlbeck14:54
xG 0.67–0.56 (55%)attempts 16–13goals 1–2
- Grossmann – Murphy11:19
xG 0.15–0.15 (51%)attempts 9–6goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).