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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 1, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver

San Jose Sharks 4, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.

COL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:40Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  4. P1 3:00Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:29Shot by Marleau, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 3:43Hertl: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Holden, Barrie, MacKinnon · SJS Marleau, Ward, Martin, Burns, Hertl

  7. P1 4:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Jones5v4
  8. P1 4:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones5v4
  9. P1 5:17Goal by Iginla (Barrie, Soderberg)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Soderberg, Barrie, MacKinnon · SJS Marleau, Ward, Martin, Burns

  10. P1 5:40Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Jones
  11. P1 6:35Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  12. P1 6:59Shot by Ward, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 7:00Goal by Ward (Marleau)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Holden, Barrie, MacKinnon · SJS Marleau, Ward, Vlasic, Braun, Hertl

  14. P1 7:24Shot by Lerg, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 7:43Shot by Pavelski, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 9:33Shot by Vlasic, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 9:38Shot by Pavelski, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 9:52McLeod: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, Guenin, McLeod, Skille, Grigorenko · SJS Brown, Lerg, Dillon, Goodrow, Tennyson

  19. P1 9:52Brown: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Stuart, Guenin, McLeod, Skille, Grigorenko · SJS Brown, Lerg, Dillon, Goodrow, Tennyson

  20. P1 10:57Martin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Johnson, Everberg · SJS Martin, Burns, Wingels, Nieto, Tierney

  21. P1 11:48Shot by Marleau, saved by Varlamov5v4
  22. P1 11:48Soderberg: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Beauchemin, Soderberg, Johnson, MacKinnon · SJS Marleau, Ward, Burns, Dillon

  23. P1 12:26Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Jones5v4
  24. P1 12:28Tierney: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon · SJS Burns, Wingels, Dillon, Tierney

  25. P1 12:48Shot by Johnson, saved by Jones4v3
  26. P1 13:48Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov4v4
  27. P1 15:49Shot by Duchene, saved by Jones
  28. P1 18:53Shot by Duchene, saved by Jones
  29. P1 19:28Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:55Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  33. P2 1:23Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 1:28Shot by Martin, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 1:58Shot by Tierney, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 4:25Shot by Nieto, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 4:46Shot by Tennyson, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 8:27Shot by McLeod, saved by Jones
  39. P2 9:17Shot by Holden, saved by Jones
  40. P2 9:41Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 9:50Shot by Vlasic, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 9:59Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 11:02Nieto: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, Guenin, Mitchell, Comeau, McLeod · SJS Wingels, Dillon, Nieto, Tennyson, Tierney

  44. P2 12:03Goal by Burns (Goodrow, Vlasic)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Soderberg, Duchene, Barrie · SJS Martin, Burns, Pavelski, Goodrow

  45. P2 12:23Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones5v4
  46. P2 12:24Goal by Beauchemin (Landeskog, Duchene)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, Grigorenko · SJS Marleau, Ward, Martin, Burns

  47. P2 12:28Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 13:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Jones
  49. P2 17:08Shot by Burns, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 17:15Varlamov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, Guenin, Soderberg, Duchene, Landeskog · SJS Martin, Burns, Wingels, Nieto, Tierney

  51. P2 17:34Shot by Marleau, saved by Varlamov4v5
  52. P2 18:33Shot by Pavelski, saved by Varlamov4v5
  53. P2 19:38Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  57. P3 2:03Shot by Mitchell, saved by Jones
  58. P3 2:33Shot by Hertl, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 2:57Shot by Ward, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 7:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  61. P3 7:43Shot by Tanguay, saved by Jones
  62. P3 8:59Shot by Iginla, saved by Jones
  63. P3 10:02Shot by Soderberg, saved by Jones
  64. P3 10:02Shot by Soderberg, saved by Jones
  65. P3 14:12Shot by Duchene, saved by Jones
  66. P3 15:56Shot by Ward, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 16:07Shot by Dillon, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 16:36Shot by Thornton, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 18:21Goal by Burns (Marleau, Hertl)+44 pts WP

    On ice: COL Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · SJS Marleau, Ward, Burns, Vlasic, Hertl

  70. P3 18:40Goal by Pavelski, unassisted6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun

  71. P3 18:55Goal by McLeod (Barrie, Holden)+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL McLeod, Holden, Barrie, Grigorenko, Everberg · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Wingels, Nieto, Tierney

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final