Tue, Nov 10, 2015·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Arizona Coyotes 3, Los Angeles Kings 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 14 | 115 | 16 | 325 |
| LAK | 110 | 111 | 014 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:54LAKDustin BrownAssists: Drew Doughty, Tanner Pearson · Backhand, 0.23 xG0–1
- P1 11:37ARIMartin HanzalUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 5:00LAKTyler ToffoliPPAssists: Jamie McBain, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 9:59ARIMartin HanzalAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Tobias Rieder · Backhand, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 11:47ARIBrad RichardsonGWGAssists: Jordan Martinook, Shane Doan · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 14:15LAKDrew Doughty: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 3:43ARIConnor Murphy: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 6:27ARIAnthony Duclair: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:38LAKKyle Clifford: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 18:38LAKAlec Martinez: Closing hand on puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Richardson – Martinook8:47
xG 0.43–0.30 (59%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Gordon – Chipchura – Scott4:20
xG 0.12–0.06 (67%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Vermette – Boedker – Domi11:43
xG 0.21–0.44 (32%)attempts 7–15goals 0–0
- Hanzal – Rieder – Duclair9:50
xG 0.23–0.70 (25%)attempts 8–18goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- Stone – Dahlbeck2:31
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Michalek – Dahlbeck16:54
xG 0.38–0.50 (43%)attempts 11–17goals 2–1
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson17:04
xG 0.46–0.71 (39%)attempts 12–20goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Pearson11:41
xG 1.07–0.43 (71%)attempts 23–7goals 1–1
- Clifford – Nolan – Andreoff5:05
xG 0.16–0.09 (65%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Lewis – Shore10:20
xG 0.20–0.15 (56%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Carter – Lucic – Toffoli11:48
xG 0.28–0.24 (54%)attempts 11–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – McNabb4:48
xG 0.63–0.14 (81%)attempts 9–3goals 1–1
- Doughty – Forbort14:02
xG 0.42–0.30 (59%)attempts 19–11goals 0–0
- McBain – Forbort4:03
xG 0.16–0.07 (71%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).