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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 12, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Vancouver Canucks 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.

OTT winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Methot, saved by Miller
  3. P1 3:27Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  4. P1 4:11Shot by Horvat, saved by Hammond
  5. P1 5:01Shot by Tanev, saved by Hammond
  6. P1 7:48Goal by Baertschi (Vrbata, Horvat)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Michalek, Borowiecki, Chiasson, Wideman, Pageau · VAN Vrbata, Hamhuis, Weber, Baertschi, Horvat

  7. P1 9:29Shot by Dorsett, saved by Hammond
  8. P1 9:36Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Hammond
  9. P1 10:19Shot by Vrbata, saved by Hammond
  10. P1 11:47Cracknell: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Stone, Lazar · VAN Higgins, Edler, Cracknell, Bartkowski, Virtanen

  11. P1 12:06Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Miller5v4
  12. P1 13:02Goal by Ryan (Karlsson, Zibanejad)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Michalek, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Zibanejad · VAN Edler, Hansen, Tanev, Horvat

  13. P1 14:50Shot by Edler, saved by Hammond
  14. P1 15:29Higgins: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Smith, Cowen, Ceci, Lazar · VAN Vrbata, Hamhuis, Higgins, Cracknell, Weber

  15. P1 15:54Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller5v4
  16. P1 17:27Shot by Stone, saved by Miller5v4
  17. P1 19:49Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:16Shot by Sedin, saved by Hammond
  21. P2 0:42Shot by Hansen, saved by Hammond
  22. P2 1:10Shot by Sedin, saved by Hammond
  23. P2 1:15Shot by Horvat, saved by Hammond
  24. P2 1:25Shot by Vrbata, saved by Hammond
  25. P2 1:29Shot by Horvat, saved by Hammond
  26. P2 1:44Ceci: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Michalek, Cowen, Pageau, Zibanejad, Ceci · VAN Vrbata, Bartkowski, Baertschi, Hutton, Horvat

  27. P2 2:32Shot by Edler, saved by Hammond4v5
  28. P2 2:47Shot by Smith, saved by Miller4v5
  29. P2 3:53Shot by Stone, saved by Miller
  30. P2 4:36Hamhuis: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · VAN Hamhuis, Cracknell, Hansen, Dorsett, Bartkowski

  31. P2 5:31Shot by Higgins, saved by Hammond5v4
  32. P2 6:52Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Hammond
  33. P2 7:35Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Hammond
  34. P2 8:09Shot by Vrbata, saved by Hammond
  35. P2 8:49Shot by Puempel, saved by Miller
  36. P2 10:53Shot by Wideman, saved by Miller
  37. P2 12:16Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  38. P2 12:43Shot by Cracknell, saved by Hammond
  39. P2 12:52Shot by Higgins, saved by Hammond
  40. P2 13:28Shot by Edler, saved by Hammond
  41. P2 14:00Goal by Karlsson (Turris, Hoffman)+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · VAN Vrbata, Edler, Tanev, Baertschi, Horvat

  42. P2 14:11Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Hammond
  43. P2 14:24Shot by Dorsett, saved by Hammond
  44. P2 16:56Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Hammond
  45. P2 18:09Shot by Neil, saved by Miller
  46. P2 18:21Shot by Dorsett, saved by Hammond
  47. P2 19:12Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  48. P2 19:58Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Hammond
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:26Shot by Ceci, saved by Miller
  52. P3 3:26Shot by Dorsett, saved by Hammond
  53. P3 4:05Shot by Stone, saved by Miller
  54. P3 6:50Shot by Methot, saved by Miller
  55. P3 7:00Methot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · VAN Sedin, Hamhuis, Hansen, Dorsett, Weber

  56. P3 7:21Shot by Sedin, saved by Hammond4v5
  57. P3 9:02Shot by Cowen, saved by Miller
  58. P3 10:41Shot by Lazar, saved by Miller
  59. P3 11:13Shot by Hutton, saved by Hammond
  60. P3 13:32Shot by Wideman, saved by Miller
  61. P3 14:21Shot by Ceci, saved by Miller
  62. P3 14:31Shot by Hansen, saved by Hammond
  63. P3 16:07Sedin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Edler, Hansen, Tanev

  64. P3 16:15Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller5v4
  65. P3 16:30Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Miller5v4
  66. P3 18:05Goal by Wideman (Hoffman)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hoffman, Wideman, Stone, Ceci, Lazar · VAN Cracknell, Dorsett, Weber, Hutton

  67. P3 18:24Shot by Edler, saved by Hammond5v6
  68. P3 18:29Karlsson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Michalek, Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Stone · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vrbata, Edler, Hansen, Weber

  69. P3 18:34Shot by Edler, saved by Hammond4v6
  70. P3 18:51Shot by Sedin, saved by Hammond4v6
  71. P3 19:36Goal by Edler (Sedin)4v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Michalek, Methot, Smith, Ceci · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vrbata, Edler, Hansen, Weber

  72. P3 19:43Shot by Burrows, saved by Hammond5v6
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final