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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 14, 2015·Centre Bell, Montreal

Colorado Avalanche 6, Montréal Canadiens 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 60% of the time.

MTL winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:53Shot by Petry, saved by Berra
  3. P1 2:55Shot by Petry, saved by Berra
  4. P1 3:03Shot by Gallagher, saved by Berra
  5. P1 3:08Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Berra
  6. P1 3:26Goal by Grigorenko (Duchene)+19 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Desharnais, Subban, Weise · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  7. P1 5:47Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Condon
  8. P1 5:49Shot by Soderberg, saved by Condon
  9. P1 7:10Shot by Eller, saved by Berra
  10. P1 7:23Shot by Gilbert, saved by Berra
  11. P1 7:58Mitchell: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Gilbert, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Gallagher · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, McLeod, Johnson, Martinsen

  12. P1 9:14Shot by Subban, saved by Berra5v4
  13. P1 10:08Shot by Subban, saved by Berra
  14. P1 11:30Shot by Weise, saved by Berra
  15. P1 11:34Shot by Weise, saved by Berra
  16. P1 14:03Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Berra
  17. P1 14:04Shot by Gallagher, saved by Berra
  18. P1 16:17Shot by Gilbert, saved by Berra
  19. P1 17:32Shot by Desharnais, saved by Berra
  20. P1 18:17Shot by Skille, saved by Condon
  21. P1 18:21Shot by Skille, saved by Condon
  22. P1 18:25Goal by MacKinnon (Grigorenko)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Mitchell, Petry, Smith-Pelly, Beaulieu, Flynn · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  23. P1 18:38Goal by MacKinnon (Grigorenko, Duchene)+8 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  24. P1 19:12Shot by Iginla, saved by Condon
  25. P1 19:41Shot by Petry, saved by Berra
  26. P1 19:47Shot by Petry, saved by Berra
  27. P1 19:55Shot by Petry, saved by Berra
  28. P1 19:57Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Berra
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:46Shot by Gilbert, saved by Berra
  32. P2 1:52Shot by Pateryn, saved by Berra
  33. P2 1:59Street: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gilbert, Semin, Eller, Pateryn, Galchenyuk · COL Guenin, Skille, Gormley, Street, Everberg

  34. P2 2:58Shot by Subban, saved by Berra5v4
  35. P2 4:11Shot by Subban, saved by Berra
  36. P2 4:55Shot by Soderberg, saved by Condon
  37. P2 5:58Shot by Gallagher, saved by Berra
  38. P2 7:12Shot by Gilbert, saved by Berra
  39. P2 8:48Goal by Gallagher (Plekanec, Pacioretty)+7 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher · COL Skille, Holden, Barrie, Street, Everberg

  40. P2 9:33Semin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Semin, Mitchell, Petry, Eller, Beaulieu · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Johnson, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  41. P2 10:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Condon4v5
  42. P2 11:43Duchene: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Semin, Petry, Subban, Eller, Flynn · COL Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  43. P2 12:33Shot by Subban, saved by Berra5v4
  44. P2 12:35Shot by Gallagher, saved by Berra5v4
  45. P2 12:37Shot by Gallagher, saved by Berra5v4
  46. P2 12:55Goal by Comeau, unassisted5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, McLeod, Johnson

  47. P2 13:29Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Berra5v4
  48. P2 13:44Shot by Petry, saved by Berra
  49. P2 16:56Grigorenko: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Desharnais, Subban, Weise · COL Guenin, Soderberg, Duchene, Barrie, Gormley, Grigorenko

  50. P2 18:10Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Berra5v4
  51. P2 18:19Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Berra5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 3:58Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Berra
  55. P3 4:14Shot by Plekanec, saved by Berra
  56. P3 5:52Shot by Barrie, saved by Tokarski
  57. P3 6:10Shot by Subban, saved by Berra
  58. P3 6:58Shot by Subban, saved by Berra
  59. P3 8:37Shot by Subban, saved by Berra
  60. P3 9:00Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Berra
  61. P3 9:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Tokarski
  62. P3 10:12Gilbert: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Gilbert, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Gallagher · COL Iginla, Guenin, Comeau, Soderberg, Gormley

  63. P3 10:38Shot by Iginla, saved by Tokarski4v5
  64. P3 10:55Shot by Iginla, saved by Tokarski4v5
  65. P3 11:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tokarski4v5
  66. P3 11:04Shot by Duchene, saved by Tokarski4v5
  67. P3 11:05Goal by Duchene (MacKinnon, Barrie)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Eller · COL Iginla, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  68. P3 12:09Shot by Holden, saved by Tokarski
  69. P3 12:16Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Berra
  70. P3 13:48Shot by Barrie, saved by Tokarski
  71. P3 14:07Shot by McLeod, saved by Tokarski
  72. P3 14:10Goal by Mitchell (Martinsen, McLeod)0 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Fleischmann, Desharnais, Petry, Smith-Pelly, Beaulieu · COL Mitchell, McLeod, Holden, Barrie, Martinsen

  73. P3 14:35Shot by Soderberg, saved by Tokarski
  74. P3 16:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Tokarski
  75. P3 18:13Shot by Plekanec, saved by Berra
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final