Sat, Nov 14, 2015·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Arizona Coyotes 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 111 | 112 | 06 | 229 |
| CBJ | 28 | 17 | 26 | 521 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:39CBJWilliam KarlssonAssists: Scott Hartnell, David Savard · Snap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 5:13CBJRyan JohansenPPAssists: Boone Jenner, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–2
- P1 12:09ARIAnthony DuclairAssists: Tobias Rieder, Martin Hanzal · Snap, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 5:49ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonAssists: Jordan Martinook, Anthony Duclair · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–2
- P2 16:14CBJBoone JennerPPGWGAssists: Ryan Johansen, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–3
- P3 10:42CBJWilliam KarlssonAssists: Cam Atkinson, Cody Goloubef · Wrist, 0.41 xG2–4
- P3 15:18CBJBrandon SaadAssists: Boone Jenner, Sergei Bobrovsky · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–5
Penalties (22)
- P1 2:33CBJRyan Murray: Tripping2 min
- P1 4:24ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 12:50ARIJohn Scott: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:50CBJGregory Campbell: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:50ARIKyle Chipchura: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:50CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:45CBJMatt Calvert: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:32CBJKevin Connauton: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:32ARIMax Domi: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:32ARIMichael Stone: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:32CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:32ARIMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:24CBJNick Foligno: Holding2 min
- P2 19:42CBJBoone Jenner: Misconduct10 min
- P2 19:42ARIShane Doan: Misconduct10 min
- P2 19:42ARIShane Doan: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 19:42CBJScott Hartnell: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:42ARIJohn Scott: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:42ARIJohn Scott: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00CBJRyan Johansen: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:39CBJMatt Calvert: Boarding2 min
- P3 16:03ARIKyle Chipchura: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansen won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestHanzal – Rieder – Duclair8:28
xG 0.62–0.14 (82%)attempts 12–3goals 1–0
- Doan – Richardson – Martinook7:55
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Gordon – Chipchura – Scott6:55
xG 0.08–0.09 (49%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Vermette – Boedker – Domi9:44
xG 0.11–0.26 (29%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStone – Ekman-Larsson17:30
xG 0.96–0.27 (78%)attempts 17–5goals 1–1
- Michalek – Dahlbeck12:27
xG 0.12–0.15 (43%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Elliott – Murphy11:36
xG 0.09–0.51 (15%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHartnell – Bourque – Karlsson2:51
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 1–0
- Campbell – Boll – Rychel5:01
xG 0.13–0.05 (71%)attempts 1–9goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Johansen – Jenner6:28
xG 0.11–0.04 (74%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Bourque – Calvert – Karlsson6:03
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoloubef – Connauton13:21
xG 0.75–0.12 (86%)attempts 8–9goals 2–0
- Johnson – Savard16:35
xG 0.06–0.55 (10%)attempts 4–23goals 1–1
- Tyutin – Murray13:02
xG 0.16–0.84 (16%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).