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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 15, 2015·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Rangers 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

New York Rangers

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 3:33Shot by Lupul, saved by Raanta
  4. P1 4:04Shot by Lindberg, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 4:21Kadri: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Staal, Brassard, Zuccarello · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Hunwick, Matthias, Bozak

  6. P1 4:21Shot by Klein, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 5:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Raanta5v4
  8. P1 7:30Shot by Bozak, saved by Raanta
  9. P1 7:47Shot by Bozak, saved by Raanta
  10. P1 8:07Shot by Spaling, saved by Raanta
  11. P1 9:41Girardi: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Miller · TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak

  12. P1 9:40Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Raanta
  13. P1 10:04Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Raanta4v5
  14. P1 11:13Shot by Gardiner, saved by Raanta4v5
  15. P1 12:22Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 15:55Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 15:58Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 16:33Shot by Parenteau, saved by Raanta
  19. P1 17:57Goal by Holland (Froese)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Staal, Stalberg, Lindberg, Hayes · TOR Polak, Grabner, Holland, Froese, Harrington

  20. P1 19:07Shot by Polak, saved by Raanta
  21. P1 19:13Shot by Kreider, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 19:51Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Raanta
  23. P1 19:59Shot by Moore, saved by Bernier
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:44Goal by McDonagh (Zuccarello, Girardi)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello · TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Matthias, Bozak, Rielly

  27. P2 2:17Shot by Stepan, saved by Bernier
  28. P2 3:26Shot by Nash, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 4:08Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 7:54Shot by Kadri, saved by Raanta
  31. P2 8:15Shot by Kadri, saved by Raanta
  32. P2 8:59Shot by Matthias, saved by Raanta
  33. P2 10:06Shot by Yandle, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 10:53Shot by Girardi, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 13:55Goal by Stepan (Kreider, Staal)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Staal, Stepan, Kreider, Miller · TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak

  36. P2 14:20Shot by Nash, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 14:54Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 15:21Shot by Bozak, saved by Raanta
  39. P2 15:39Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Raanta
  40. P2 16:08Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 17:12Shot by Nash, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 17:36Shot by Lupul, saved by Raanta
  43. P2 17:38Goal by Lupul (Froese, Phaneuf)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello, McIlrath · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Winnik, Gardiner, Froese

  44. P2 18:54Shot by Komarov, saved by Raanta
  45. P2 19:48Shot by Winnik, saved by Raanta
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:20Shot by Lindberg, saved by Bernier
  49. P3 1:52Shot by Girardi, saved by Bernier
  50. P3 1:57Shot by Moore, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 3:37Goal by Brassard (Zuccarello, Klein)+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello · TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Matthias, Bozak, Rielly

  52. P3 4:57Shot by Girardi, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 5:15Goal by Phaneuf (Bozak)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Stepan, Kreider, McIlrath, Miller · TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak

  54. P3 5:37Shot by Lupul, saved by Raanta
  55. P3 6:22Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 6:34Shot by Klein, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 7:34Kreider: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Miller · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri

  58. P3 9:21Parenteau: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Fast · TOR Parenteau, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak, Rielly

  59. P3 13:39Shot by Girardi, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 14:50Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 15:36Brassard: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello · TOR Lupul, Hunwick, Winnik, Bozak, Froese, Rielly

  62. P3 15:59Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Raanta4v5
  63. P3 16:48Shot by Winnik, saved by Raanta4v5
  64. P3 17:46Shot by Parenteau, saved by Raanta
  65. P3 19:04Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 19:06Goal by Zuccarello (McDonagh)+46 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final