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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 19, 2015·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Colorado Avalanche 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 62% of the time.

PIT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Letang, saved by Berra
  3. P1 2:17Shot by Cullen, saved by Berra
  4. P1 3:05Shot by Everberg, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 3:27Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 4:09Shot by McLeod, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 4:22Shot by Letang, saved by Berra
  8. P1 4:27Shot by Scuderi, saved by Berra
  9. P1 5:25Shot by Skille, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 5:48Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 7:23Shot by Kunitz, saved by Berra
  12. P1 8:08McLeod: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Scuderi, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist · COL Beauchemin, McLeod, Johnson, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  13. P1 8:08Hornqvist: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Scuderi, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist · COL Beauchemin, McLeod, Johnson, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  14. P1 9:32Bennett: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Letang, Cole, Bennett · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Johnson, Landeskog

  15. P1 9:44Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury3v4
  16. P1 10:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury3v4
  17. P1 10:20Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Berra4v5
  18. P1 11:15Shot by Soderberg, saved by Fleury4v5
  19. P1 11:21Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Fleury4v5
  20. P1 11:49Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 13:16Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Berra
  22. P1 13:26Dupuis: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Crosby, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Dumoulin · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  23. P1 16:24McLeod: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Perron, Clendening · COL Beauchemin, McLeod, Holden, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  24. P1 17:03Shot by Crosby, saved by Berra5v4
  25. P1 17:00Shot by Malkin, saved by Berra5v4
  26. P1 17:02Shot by Crosby, saved by Berra5v4
  27. P1 18:57Shot by Soderberg, saved by Fleury
  28. P1 19:19Dupuis: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Crosby, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Dumoulin · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  29. P1 19:33Shot by Duchene, saved by Fleury4v5
  30. P1 19:34Goal by Duchene (Iginla, Barrie)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Letang, Cole · COL Iginla, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Fleury
  34. P2 0:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 0:48Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 0:54Shot by Duchene, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 3:41Shot by Cullen, saved by Berra
  38. P2 3:49Shot by Plotnikov, saved by Berra
  39. P2 4:26Lovejoy: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Crosby, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Dumoulin · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  40. P2 5:31Beauchemin: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Letang, Dumoulin · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Grigorenko

  41. P2 5:35Goal by Perron (Cole, Bennett)4v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cole, Perron, Bennett, Clendening · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Barrie

  42. P2 7:04Goal by Malkin (Letang, Kessel)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie

  43. P2 7:32Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 7:43Goal by Kunitz (Bonino)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Scuderi, Kunitz, Fehr, Bonino, Clendening · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  45. P2 8:04Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 9:09Shot by Letang, saved by Berra
  47. P2 13:02Shot by Clendening, saved by Berra
  48. P2 15:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Berra
  49. P2 15:57Shot by Perron, saved by Berra
  50. P2 16:36Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Berra
  51. P2 17:17Shot by Soderberg, saved by Fleury
  52. P2 19:25Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Fleury
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:14Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Berra
  56. P3 0:30MacKinnon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Crosby, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Dumoulin · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  57. P3 1:36Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Berra5v4
  58. P3 3:23Shot by Fehr, saved by Berra
  59. P3 5:08Holden: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Perron, Clendening · COL Beauchemin, Skille, Holden, Grigorenko, Everberg

  60. P3 6:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Berra5v4
  61. P3 6:35Shot by Perron, saved by Berra5v4
  62. P3 7:49Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 8:23Shot by Clendening, saved by Berra
  64. P3 8:49Goal by Barrie (Iginla)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Perron, Clendening · COL Iginla, Holden, Barrie, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  65. P3 10:50Shot by Fehr, saved by Berra
  66. P3 10:58Shot by Martinsen, saved by Fleury
  67. P3 11:03Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 11:36Shot by Kessel, saved by Berra
  69. P3 11:56Goal by Crosby (Dupuis, Cole)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Crosby, Hornqvist, Cole, Clendening · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Skille, Holden, Barrie

  70. P3 13:27Shot by Plotnikov, saved by Berra
  71. P3 15:16Bonino: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Bonino, Cole, Bennett, Clendening · COL Comeau, Soderberg, McLeod, Holden, Barrie

  72. P3 15:41Shot by Iginla, saved by Fleury4v5
  73. P3 15:58Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury4v5
  74. P3 18:37Goal by Duchene (Landeskog, Grigorenko)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Dumoulin, Bennett, Clendening · COL Iginla, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, Grigorenko

  75. P3 19:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Fleury5v6
  76. P3 19:28Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury5v6
  77. P3 19:59Shot by Iginla, saved by Fleury5v6
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final