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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 21, 2015·Verizon Center, Washington

Colorado Avalanche 3, Washington Capitals 7

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 66% of the time.

WSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Johnson, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 1:05McLeod: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Williams, Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · COL Comeau, Soderberg, McLeod, Holden, Barrie

  4. P1 1:25Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Berra5v4
  5. P1 2:56Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Berra5v4
  6. P1 3:05Goal by Williams (Chimera, Kuznetsov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Williams, Niskanen, Kuznetsov, Galiev · COL Skille, Holden, Barrie, Grigorenko

  7. P1 7:15Goal by Ovechkin (Backstrom, Chorney)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Chorney, Backstrom, Orlov · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Johnson, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  8. P1 7:20Shot by Skille, saved by Holtby
  9. P1 8:27Shot by Soderberg, saved by Holtby
  10. P1 9:29Shot by Duchene, saved by Holtby
  11. P1 9:50Shot by Johansson, saved by Berra
  12. P1 9:54Shot by Williams, saved by Berra
  13. P1 10:00Goal by Carlson (Kuznetsov, Johansson)+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Williams, Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · COL Iginla, Holden, Barrie, Wagner, Martinsen

  14. P1 13:07Shot by Iginla, saved by Holtby
  15. P1 13:48Shot by Johnson, saved by Holtby
  16. P1 14:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Holtby
  17. P1 14:32Shot by Johnson, saved by Holtby
  18. P1 15:20Shot by Williams, saved by Berra
  19. P1 15:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Holtby
  20. P1 18:07Shot by McLeod, saved by Holtby
  21. P1 18:14Iginla: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Laich, Carlson, Latta, Wilson, Schmidt · COL Iginla, Soderberg, McLeod, Redmond, Barrie

  22. P1 18:14Wilson: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Laich, Carlson, Latta, Wilson, Schmidt · COL Iginla, Soderberg, McLeod, Redmond, Barrie

  23. P1 18:26Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Berra4v4
  24. P1 19:14Shot by Johansson, saved by Berra4v4
  25. P1 19:17Goal by Schmidt, unassisted4v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Johnson, Landeskog

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:15Shot by Johnson, saved by Holtby
  29. P2 0:51Shot by Galiev, saved by Pickard
  30. P2 2:32Shot by Oshie, saved by Pickard
  31. P2 3:48Shot by Williams, saved by Pickard
  32. P2 4:01Shot by Skille, saved by Holtby
  33. P2 4:33Shot by Duchene, saved by Holtby
  34. P2 5:24Shot by Soderberg, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 5:31Goal by McLeod (Comeau, Soderberg)+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner · COL Comeau, Soderberg, McLeod, Holden, Barrie

  36. P2 6:08Iginla: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Williams, Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · COL Iginla, Holden, Barrie, Grigorenko, Everberg

  37. P2 6:24Shot by Oshie, saved by Pickard5v4
  38. P2 6:58Shot by Oshie, saved by Pickard5v4
  39. P2 7:10Shot by Chimera, saved by Pickard5v4
  40. P2 7:54Shot by Johansson, saved by Pickard5v4
  41. P2 8:59Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Pickard
  42. P2 9:28Shot by Galiev, saved by Pickard
  43. P2 9:44Shot by McLeod, saved by Holtby
  44. P2 10:04Shot by Soderberg, saved by Holtby
  45. P2 10:32Shot by Oshie, saved by Pickard
  46. P2 11:47Latta: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Laich, Carlson, Latta, Wilson, Schmidt · COL Skille, Redmond, Gormley, Wagner, Everberg

  47. P2 11:47Wagner: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Laich, Carlson, Latta, Wilson, Schmidt · COL Skille, Redmond, Gormley, Wagner, Everberg

  48. P2 11:47Wagner: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Laich, Carlson, Latta, Wilson, Schmidt · COL Skille, Redmond, Gormley, Wagner, Everberg

  49. P2 14:05Shot by Chimera, saved by Pickard
  50. P2 14:56Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Holtby
  51. P2 16:38Kuznetsov: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Williams, Chorney, Johansson, Orlov, Kuznetsov · COL Iginla, Holden, Barrie, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  52. P2 18:01Goal by MacKinnon (Landeskog, Duchene)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Laich, Oshie, Carlson, Schmidt · COL Iginla, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  53. P2 17:59Shot by Iginla, saved by Holtby4v5
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 2:06Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Holtby
  57. P3 2:40Shot by Holden, saved by Holtby
  58. P3 3:10Shot by Latta, saved by Pickard
  59. P3 5:05MacKinnon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  60. P3 5:27Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Holtby5v4
  61. P3 6:17Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Pickard5v4
  62. P3 6:34Goal by Kuznetsov (Chimera, Niskanen)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Williams, Niskanen, Kuznetsov, Galiev · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Holden

  63. P3 7:04Shot by Duchene, saved by Holtby
  64. P3 7:25Shot by Landeskog, saved by Holtby
  65. P3 10:01Shot by Orlov, saved by Pickard
  66. P3 10:07Goal by Orlov (Chimera, Beagle)+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Chorney, Beagle, Orlov, Galiev · COL Comeau, Soderberg, McLeod, Holden, Barrie

  67. P3 11:52Goal by Martinsen (Redmond, Grigorenko)0 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Williams, Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · COL Iginla, Redmond, Gormley, Grigorenko, Martinsen

  68. P3 14:42Shot by Chorney, saved by Pickard
  69. P3 15:31Shot by Johansson, saved by Pickard
  70. P3 16:03Shot by Alzner, saved by Pickard
  71. P3 16:16Goal by Alzner (Oshie, Ovechkin)0 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  72. P3 17:07Shot by Martinsen, saved by Holtby
  73. P3 17:46Shot by Johansson, saved by Pickard
  74. P3 18:49Wilson: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: WSH Laich, Niskanen, Alzner, Latta, Wilson · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, McLeod, Skille, Barrie

  75. P3 18:49McLeod: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Laich, Niskanen, Alzner, Latta, Wilson · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, McLeod, Skille, Barrie

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final