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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 23, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

St. Louis Blues 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Steen–Stastny–TarasenkoLehtera–Paajarvi–JaskinUpshall–Backes–BrouwerOtt–Brodziak–FabbriBackes–Brouwer–FabbriOtt–Upshall–BrodziakSteen–Brouwer–StastnySteen–Backes–BrouwerBouwmeester–PietrangeloShattenkirk–GunnarssonBortuzzo–ParaykoShattenkirk–ParaykoGunnarsson–ParaykoPietrangelo–Parayko
Kane–Reinhart–Eichel3:210.03–0.053:150.30–0.001:470.01–0.001:350.00–0.251:030.00–0.005:040.20–0.003:230.06–0.141:070.00–0.021:310.20–0.191:070.00–0.01
Gionta–Moulson–O'Reilly5:550.16–0.061:480.08–0.001:090.11–0.005:430.05–0.063:550.33–0.020:400.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Ennis–Foligno–Larsson1:000.00–0.003:520.00–0.031:080.16–0.051:420.14–0.173:220.21–0.222:430.09–0.002:370.00–0.08
Legwand–McGinn–Deslauriers0:520.00–0.001:590.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:530.00–0.002:070.17–0.00
Ennis–Kane–Eichel0:350.00–0.360:310.00–0.000:570.00–0.36
Foligno–Deslauriers–Larsson0:330.00–0.000:390.02–0.080:330.00–0.00
Kane–Larsson–Reinhart0:570.00–0.06
Gionta–O'Reilly–Kane0:560.00–0.001:000.01–0.00
Gionta–O'Reilly–Deslauriers0:360.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Bogosian–McCabe2:300.03–0.045:290.19–0.032:540.06–0.411:300.00–0.002:290.14–0.084:590.11–0.076:530.24–0.133:530.00–0.441:010.05–0.011:100.00–0.00
Gorges–Ristolainen9:110.17–0.091:290.14–0.000:570.11–0.040:410.00–0.171:130.00–0.001:020.00–0.009:040.36–0.324:060.23–0.110:560.00–0.021:290.00–0.02
Colaiacovo–Franson0:360.00–0.002:580.00–0.001:130.00–0.001:560.00–0.000:380.00–0.172:320.00–0.145:240.00–0.081:520.00–0.003:090.17–0.000:510.00–0.111:320.00–0.12
Gorges–Franson0:380.04–0.000:390.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKane FEichel FReinhart FGionta FMoulson FO'Reilly FLarsson FEnnis FFoligno FLegwand FDeslauriers FMcGinn FMcCabe DBogosian DGorges DRistolainen DColaiacovo DFranson DUllmark GUpshall FBrouwer FBackes FSteen FStastny FTarasenko FLehtera FJaskin FPaajarvi FOtt FFabbri FBrodziak FBouwmeester DPietrangelo DGunnarsson DShattenkirk DBortuzzo DParayko DAllen G
BUFSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex PietrangeloSTL3228:590:541:4445
Jay BouwmeesterSTL3227:300:521:4446
Jake McCabeBUF2721:510:491:4436
Zach BogosianBUF2721:430:481:4446
Evander KaneBUF2121:191:011:5211
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3221:050:401:1932
Alexander SteenSTL2820:550:451:2874
Jack EichelBUF2219:490:541:3512
Paul StastnySTL2619:370:451:1861
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2219:110:522:0323
Brian GiontaBUF2218:560:522:0322
Sam ReinhartBUF2118:540:541:3112
Josh GorgesBUF2918:490:391:1612
Kevin ShattenkirkSTL2718:370:411:2352
Cody FransonBUF2318:300:481:2441
Carl GunnarssonSTL2717:100:381:0152
Colton ParaykoSTL2417:010:431:0410
Johan LarssonBUF1916:540:531:5104
Tyler EnnisBUF1916:360:521:4612
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2916:230:341:0260
Matt MoulsonBUF2015:410:471:4121
David BackesSTL2315:130:401:3732
Troy BrouwerSTL2115:060:431:1632
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF2014:440:441:0431
Dmitrij JaskinSTL1813:520:461:4122
Jori LehteraSTL2013:390:411:2412
Marcus FolignoBUF1613:320:511:4601
Magnus PaajarviSTL1913:100:421:2422
Kyle BrodziakSTL1812:290:421:2813
Robby FabbriSTL1811:490:391:2531
Steve OttSTL1611:280:431:2412
Scottie UpshallSTL1611:080:420:5601
Robert BortuzzoSTL1810:540:360:5700
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF108:520:531:0312
Jamie McGinnBUF97:420:511:5110
David LegwandBUF107:000:421:0111