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Ice Lab

Left wing · #56

Magnus Paajarvi

Edmonton Oilers St. Louis Blues Ottawa Senators(traded during the season)
Age
35
Shoots
Left
Height
191 cm
Weight
93 kg
Born
Norrkoping, SWE
Draft
2009, round 1, #10 (EDM)

Career · 2010–11 to 2018–19

Games
467
Goals
62
Points
124
TOI per game
13:03
xGF% (5v5)
47.9%
Goals above expected
−8.8
ShowAll teamsEdmonton OilersSt. Louis BluesOttawa Senators

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2010–11EDM80151934−1315:231808.3%915.444.1%
2011–12EDM41268−713:11792.5%27.349.7%
2012–13EDM429716−114:087512.0%27.043.0%
2013–14STL556612−610:156010.0%04.953.1%
2014–15STL10011−29:4890.0%10.852.7%
2015–16STL48369−912:51883.4%08.554.4%
2016–17STL328513+912:095115.7%14.853.3%
2017–18STL44224−311:09583.4%05.649.9%
2017–18OTT35628−814:05688.8%05.047.1%
2017–18All teams798412−1112:271266.3%010.548.5%
2018–19OTT8011819−1413:281199.2%011.544.7%
Total3 teams4676262124−5413:037877.9%1570.847.9%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.8100200300400
8m10m12m14m16m18m20m100200300400Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2010–11 to 2018–19 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

3rd line

40th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.6147th pct
  • Assists /600.6124th pct
  • ixG /600.7054th pct
  • Goals above expected−8.813th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)47.9%38th pct
  • CF% (5v5)48.2%39th pct
  • Relative xGF%−0.255th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.2670th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game13:0348th pct
  • PP time share11.8%43rd pct
  • Offensive zone starts48.6%31st pct
  • Quality of competition24.2%60th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Justin BaileyBUF0.73
  2. Nick JohnsonMIN/PHX0.72
  3. Tobias RiederARI/EDM0.68
  4. Ryan RussellCBJ0.66
  5. Matt EllisBUF0.65
  6. Patrick DwyerCAR0.64

Faceoffs

How often Paajarvi wins the draw over 2010–11 to 2018–19, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1741+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

33.3%

20–40 · below the 1741 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

33.8%

Opponents won 50.5% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.5% against them.

Wins above average

−10

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.2

60 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

100%1 · –10%10 · +0.135%17 · +0.560%5 · −1.850%6 · 0.00%2 · –0%1 · –40%15 · −4.50%3 · –Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone25.9% 7–20
  • Neutral zone46.7% 7–8
  • Defensive zone33.3% 6–12

By strength

  • Even strength24.4% 11–34
  • Power play100.0% 2–0
  • Shorthanded53.8% 7–6

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +15 after a win, +3 after a loss. Each win was worth -0.9 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2010–11520.0%22.8%
2011–12728.6%26.5%
2012–131233.3%33.9%
2013–14633.3%33.6%
2014–151100.0%100.9%
2015–1620.0%1.3%
2016–17333.3%38.6%
2017–18825.0%22.6%
2018–191643.8%45.1%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−8.8 goals above expected

020406080100200300400Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100