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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 27, 2015·Verizon Center, Washington

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Washington Capitals 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 75% of the time.

WSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Johnson, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 0:42Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Marchessault, saved by Holtby
  5. P1 3:34Shot by Laich, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 4:59Shot by Backstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:15Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:17Hedman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Chorney, Backstrom, Orlov · TBL Filppula, Stralman, Hedman, Marchessault, Brown

  9. P1 5:33Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  10. P1 6:32Shot by Niskanen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  11. P1 7:09Goal by Ovechkin (Chimera, Kuznetsov)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Williams, Ovechkin, Niskanen, Kuznetsov · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Garrison

  12. P1 7:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Holtby
  13. P1 8:22Shot by Alzner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 8:44Shot by Backstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 9:10Shot by Filppula, saved by Holtby
  16. P1 9:16Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 9:18Shot by Chimera, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 10:39Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby
  19. P1 10:54Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby
  20. P1 13:53Shot by Hedman, saved by Holtby
  21. P1 14:43Callahan: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Laich, Carlson, Latta, Wilson, Schmidt · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Sustr

  22. P1 14:43Latta: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Laich, Carlson, Latta, Wilson, Schmidt · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Sustr

  23. P1 15:03Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby4v4
  24. P1 15:46Shot by Niskanen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  25. P1 16:38Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  26. P1 17:23Shot by Callahan, saved by Holtby
  27. P1 17:30Callahan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Chorney, Beagle, Schmidt, Burakovsky · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Marchessault

  28. P1 17:35Shot by Carlson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  29. P1 18:16Shot by Carlson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  30. P1 19:10Shot by Chimera, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P1 19:14Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  32. P1 19:25Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:21Shot by Killorn, saved by Holtby
  36. P2 1:19Shot by Carlson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 2:54Shot by Condra, saved by Holtby
  38. P2 3:11Shot by Niskanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 3:30Shot by Condra, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 3:45Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 4:49Shot by Backstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 6:39Shot by Carlson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 6:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Holtby
  44. P2 7:02Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 8:32Shot by Coburn, saved by Holtby
  46. P2 9:04Shot by Backstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 12:07Shot by Oshie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 15:54Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 15:57Shot by Beagle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 16:05Coburn: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Chorney, Beagle, Orlov, Burakovsky · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Garrison, Marchessault, Brown

  51. P2 17:19Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  52. P2 18:03Goal by Chimera (Kuznetsov, Niskanen)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Williams, Niskanen, Alzner, Kuznetsov · TBL Boyle, Carle, Stralman, Condra

  53. P2 19:18Goal by Johansson (Carlson, Schmidt)+5 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Williams, Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · TBL Carle, Callahan, Killorn, Garrison, Stamkos

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 2:51Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Holtby
  57. P3 3:04Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  58. P3 4:00Sustr: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Laich, Chorney, Orlov, Latta, Kuznetsov, Wilson · TBL Boyle, Carle, Condra, Sustr, Vermin

  59. P3 4:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Holtby5v4
  60. P3 5:16Goal by Oshie (Backstrom, Carlson)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson · TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Garrison

  61. P3 5:26Shot by Marchessault, saved by Holtby
  62. P3 5:27Shot by Marchessault, saved by Holtby
  63. P3 5:28Shot by Coburn, saved by Holtby
  64. P3 5:59Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 6:59Shot by Filppula, saved by Holtby
  66. P3 8:01Shot by Boyle, saved by Holtby
  67. P3 8:09Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  68. P3 9:20Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 9:22Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 10:15Shot by Callahan, saved by Holtby
  71. P3 10:49Goal by Boyle (Callahan, Brown)0 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Chorney, Beagle, Orlov, Burakovsky · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Brown

  72. P3 11:27Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 11:51Shot by Filppula, saved by Holtby
  74. P3 12:01Shot by Sustr, saved by Holtby
  75. P3 12:45Goal by Hedman (Namestnikov)+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Laich, Carlson, Latta, Wilson, Schmidt · TBL Stralman, Condra, Hedman, Namestnikov, Vermin

  76. P3 13:44Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 14:22Shot by Stamkos, saved by Holtby
  78. P3 14:40Shot by Hedman, saved by Holtby
  79. P3 15:03Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  80. P3 15:16Ovechkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Alzner, Kuznetsov · TBL Filppula, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Marchessault

  81. P3 16:19Shot by Stamkos, saved by Holtby4v5
  82. P3 18:08Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby5v6
  83. P3 18:39Shot by Boyle, saved by Holtby5v6
  84. P3 19:48Johansson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Marchessault, Brown

  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final