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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 27, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Liles, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 2:52Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Ward
  4. P1 4:19Shot by Slavin, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 6:37Shot by Hanifin, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 7:36Shot by Versteeg, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 8:57Goal by Gorges (Ristolainen, McGinn)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, Rask, Lindholm

  8. P1 9:14Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  9. P1 11:09Shot by McClement, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 11:48Shot by Nash, saved by Johnson
  11. P1 12:16Shot by Liles, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 13:55Shot by Nash, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 17:09Shot by Slavin, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 17:16Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 18:30Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 19:17Nash: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CAR Hainsey, Versteeg, Nash, Faulk, Skinner

  17. P1 19:17Kane: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · CAR Hainsey, Versteeg, Nash, Faulk, Skinner

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:33Shot by Rask, saved by Johnson4v4
  21. P2 0:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward4v4
  22. P2 1:23Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  23. P2 1:24Nordstrom: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Bogosian, Kane, Girgensons, Eichel · CAR Liles, Staal, Nash, Nordstrom, Pesce

  24. P2 1:27Shot by Franson, saved by Ward5v4
  25. P2 2:45Shot by Moulson, saved by Ward5v4
  26. P2 3:47Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  27. P2 3:58Shot by Liles, saved by Johnson
  28. P2 3:59Shot by Liles, saved by Johnson
  29. P2 4:58Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson
  30. P2 4:59Goal by Rask (Staal, Lindholm)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, Kane, McCabe, Eichel · CAR Staal, Rask, Slavin, Lindholm, Hanifin

  31. P2 5:35Shot by Nash, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 7:53Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward
  33. P2 8:12Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Ward
  34. P2 8:30Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 9:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 10:11Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson5v6
  37. P2 10:16Bogosian: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Moulson, Bogosian, Eichel · CAR McClement, Staal, Terry, Skinner, Slavin, Hanifin

  38. P2 12:24Goal by Eichel, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Bogosian, Ristolainen, Eichel · CAR Liles, Staal, Nestrasil, Nordstrom, Slavin

  39. P2 14:02Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward
  40. P2 14:35Shot by Hanifin, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 16:33Shot by Terry, saved by Johnson
  42. P2 17:04Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  43. P2 17:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward
  44. P2 19:37Goal by Gionta (Moulson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, Ristolainen, Eichel · CAR Liles, Staal, Nordstrom, Pesce, Lindholm

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:26Shot by Kane, saved by Lack
  48. P3 1:37Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  49. P3 3:01Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  50. P3 3:49Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lack
  51. P3 3:54Shot by Foligno, saved by Lack
  52. P3 6:36Goal by Legwand (McGinn, Schaller)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Franson, McGinn, McCabe, Schaller · CAR Staal, Nestrasil, Faulk, Nordstrom, Slavin

  53. P3 8:08Shot by Kane, saved by Lack
  54. P3 8:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Lack
  55. P3 10:09Deslauriers: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Girgensons · CAR Staal, Nestrasil, Skinner, Slavin, Hanifin

  56. P3 11:44Shot by Versteeg, saved by Johnson4v5
  57. P3 14:19Shot by McGinn, saved by Lack
  58. P3 17:21Shot by Terry, saved by Johnson
  59. P3 17:59Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johnson
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final