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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 27, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Rask–LindholmStaal–Nestrasil–NordstromVersteeg–Nash–SkinnerMcClement–Terry–MaloneStaal–Nestrasil–RaskHainsey–FaulkLiles–PesceSlavin–HanifinHainsey–SlavinFaulk–HanifinFaulk–PesceFaulk–SlavinHainsey–LilesSlavin–Pesce
O'Reilly–Kane–Reinhart5:540.12–0.033:030.23–0.081:490.08–0.010:500.00–0.001:070.00–0.206:160.14–0.061:560.00–0.082:150.08–0.180:510.00–0.001:160.22–0.00
Gionta–Moulson–Eichel0:500.00–0.131:300.00–0.016:050.13–0.301:560.00–0.182:590.00–0.144:020.22–0.333:330.00–0.260:570.00–0.000:330.04–0.00
Foligno–Deslauriers–Girgensons1:320.00–0.123:040.08–0.071:240.00–0.001:440.20–0.004:140.20–0.132:560.08–0.06
Legwand–McGinn–Schaller1:030.05–0.001:060.11–0.001:010.00–0.012:040.01–0.001:310.00–0.000:400.01–0.001:430.00–0.011:050.05–0.02
Gionta–Girgensons–Eichel0:550.00–0.221:020.00–0.22
Colaiacovo–Bogosian2:180.00–0.133:520.01–0.065:510.13–0.192:260.14–0.182:440.00–0.055:160.28–0.336:460.00–0.32
Gorges–Ristolainen6:330.01–0.422:050.00–0.081:550.06–0.013:010.01–0.000:360.00–0.186:210.01–0.043:560.11–0.472:120.06–0.180:560.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Franson–McCabe2:180.17–0.283:240.32–0.022:320.03–0.131:170.05–0.002:440.15–0.122:520.05–0.022:400.09–0.290:310.12–0.000:370.15–0.00
Bogosian–McCabe0:550.00–0.221:020.00–0.22
McCabe–Ristolainen0:420.00–0.000:400.00–0.020:340.00–0.00
Colaiacovo–Franson0:340.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKane FReinhart FO'Reilly FGionta FEichel FMoulson FGirgensons FDeslauriers FFoligno FLegwand FSchaller FMcGinn FGorges DRistolainen DMcCabe DFranson DBogosian DColaiacovo DJohnson GStaal FLindholm FRask FStaal FNestrasil FNordstrom FNash FVersteeg FSkinner FMcClement FMalone FTerry FFaulk DHainsey DLiles DPesce DHanifin DSlavin DWard GLack G
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2824:250:521:2627
Justin FaulkCAR2822:340:481:5373
Zach BogosianBUF2421:350:541:5242
Josh GorgesBUF2621:150:491:2626
Ron HainseyCAR2721:120:471:2752
Brett PesceCAR2620:420:481:1932
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2320:360:541:3916
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF2520:220:491:3042
Evander KaneBUF2220:150:551:4304
John-Michael LilesCAR2520:080:481:1942
Jack EichelBUF2119:300:561:5912
Eric StaalCAR2219:020:521:3353
Brian GiontaBUF2118:450:541:5923
Victor RaskCAR2218:130:501:2662
Jaccob SlavinCAR2217:500:492:0623
Noah HanifinCAR2017:340:531:2623
Elias LindholmCAR2016:340:501:3461
Sam ReinhartBUF1916:290:521:4303
Jake McCabeBUF2516:190:391:2121
Jeff SkinnerCAR2016:000:481:4240
Riley NashCAR2115:380:451:4860
Kris VersteegCAR1915:160:481:4240
Matt MoulsonBUF1815:090:511:1412
Jordan StaalCAR2214:430:401:1622
Cody FransonBUF2114:200:411:1031
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2114:040:401:0841
Joakim NordstromCAR2014:030:421:3022
Andrej NestrasilCAR1813:450:461:1522
Jay McClementCAR1712:470:451:2612
Marcus FolignoBUF2012:420:381:0851
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1811:000:371:0841
David LegwandBUF1710:490:380:5526
Chris TerryCAR1410:070:431:1211
Brad MaloneCAR1510:010:400:5612
Tim SchallerBUF168:130:310:5012
Jamie McGinnBUF128:120:411:1132