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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 28, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Hickey, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 3:11Shot by Boyle, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 4:39Shot by Filppula, saved by Greiss
  5. P1 5:25Shot by Witkowski, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 6:45Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 8:05Shot by Grabovski, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 11:16Boychuk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Namestnikov, Sustr · NYI Boychuk, Grabovski, Kulemin, de Haan, Strome

  9. P1 12:49Shot by Hedman, saved by Greiss5v4
  10. P1 13:18Shot by Callahan, saved by Greiss
  11. P1 16:18Shot by Stralman, saved by Greiss
  12. P1 16:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss
  13. P1 16:20Goal by Killorn (Stamkos, Stralman)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · NYI Okposo, Hamonic, Tavares, Leddy, Nelson

  14. P1 15:37Shot by Okposo, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 16:48Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 17:31Namestnikov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Marchessault, Sustr · NYI Boychuk, Grabovski, Kulemin, de Haan, Strome

  17. P1 18:05Callahan: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Tavares, Leddy, Nelson

  18. P1 18:05Okposo: Fighting (5 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Tavares, Leddy, Nelson

  19. P1 18:07Shot by Hedman, saved by Greiss4v5
  20. P1 18:31Shot by Leddy, saved by Bishop4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:02Shot by Leddy, saved by Bishop
  24. P2 1:39Goal by Stralman (Stamkos, Filppula)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · NYI Hamonic, Tavares, Leddy, Nelson, Strome

  25. P2 2:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Greiss
  26. P2 2:59Namestnikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Witkowski, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Marchessault · NYI Zidlicky, Boychuk, Grabovski, Clutterbuck, Kulemin

  27. P2 3:51Goal by Bailey (Nelson, Strome)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Condra, Hedman · NYI Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Nelson, Strome

  28. P2 4:11Shot by Cizikas, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 4:15Martin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Marchessault, Sustr, Vermin · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas

  30. P2 4:15Coburn: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Marchessault, Sustr, Vermin · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas

  31. P2 7:29Shot by Filppula, saved by Greiss
  32. P2 8:32Shot by Grabovski, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 10:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 10:26Zidlicky: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Witkowski, Namestnikov, Vermin · NYI Zidlicky, Okposo, Kulemin, Tavares, Leddy

  35. P2 10:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greissother
  36. P2 10:35Shot by Stralman, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 10:54Shot by Filppula, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 11:13Shot by Okposo, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 12:08Shot by Coburn, saved by Greiss
  40. P2 12:36Shot by Filppula, saved by Greiss
  41. P2 14:03Shot by Stralman, saved by Greiss
  42. P2 14:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss
  43. P2 14:47Shot by Garrison, saved by Greiss
  44. P2 16:31Shot by Hickey, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 16:51Goal by Clutterbuck, unassisted+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Condra, Sustr, Vermin · NYI Zidlicky, Clutterbuck, Hickey, Martin, Cizikas

  46. P2 17:48Shot by Carle, saved by Greiss
  47. P2 17:53Shot by Filppula, saved by Greiss
  48. P2 17:56Shot by Stralman, saved by Greiss
  49. P2 17:57Bailey: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Brown · NYI Nielsen, Bailey, Hamonic, Leddy, Lee

  50. P2 18:20Shot by Stralman, saved by Greiss5v4
  51. P2 18:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:49Shot by Lee, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 2:47Hickey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Marchessault, Sustr · NYI Zidlicky, Grabovski, Kulemin, Hickey, Strome

  56. P3 3:13Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Bishop5v4
  57. P3 3:15Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bishop5v4
  58. P3 5:12Shot by Bailey, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 5:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 9:02Shot by Filppula, saved by Greiss
  61. P3 9:49Shot by Marchessault, saved by Greiss
  62. P3 11:03Shot by de Haan, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 11:47Okposo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · NYI Okposo, Kulemin, Hamonic, Tavares, Leddy

  64. P3 15:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Greiss
  65. P3 15:31Condra: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Sustr, Vermin · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas

  66. P3 16:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Bishop4v5
  67. P3 16:23Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bishop4v5
  68. P3 16:24Goal by Tavares (Nielsen, Leddy)4v5+34 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Hedman, Brown · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Tavares, Leddy, Nelson

  69. P3 19:42Shot by Hedman, saved by Greiss6v5
  70. P3 19:57Shot by Hedman, saved by Greiss6v5
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final