Sat, Nov 28, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
56%
9%
10%
25%
TBL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.06 | 15.5% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.01 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.09 | 19.8% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.38 | 18.8% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.35 | 36.9% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.02 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:24 | 0.16 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.18 | 48.8% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.16 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 51.8% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.07 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:43 | 0.13 | 58.5% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.12 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.03 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.56 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 23:14 | 0.46 | 70.4% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 22:59 | 0.14 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 22:01 | 0.92 | 82.6% | +32.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 20:49 | 0.21 | 80.7% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.31 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.19 | 75.6% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.02 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.00 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.05 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.02 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.04 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.04 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.00 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.01 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.06 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.06 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:31 | 0.03 | 87.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.77 | −1.2 | 58:37 |