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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 1, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Philadelphia Flyers 4, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 87% of the time.

OTT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Del Zotto: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Karlsson, Stone, Zibanejad, Lazar · PHI Giroux, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gudas, Raffl

  3. P1 3:21Shot by McDonald, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 3:25Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 5:49Shot by Prince, saved by Mason
  6. P1 5:54Shot by Cowen, saved by Mason
  7. P1 6:23Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 7:03Shot by Turris, saved by Mason
  9. P1 8:44Shot by Stone, saved by Mason
  10. P1 8:55Shot by Read, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 12:16Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 13:38Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mason
  13. P1 14:15Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  14. P1 14:27Goal by Gostisbehere (Giroux, Schenn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Borowiecki, Wideman, Prince, Pageau · PHI Giroux, Schenn, Manning, Gostisbehere, Raffl

  15. P1 17:17Goal by Smith (Ceci)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Smith, Cowen, Prince, Ceci · PHI McDonald, Schenn, Cousins, Laughton, Medvedev

  16. P1 17:44Shot by Read, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 19:10Shot by Stone, saved by Mason
  18. P1 19:35Couturier: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Turris, Hoffman, Cowen, Ceci · PHI Simmonds, Manning, Read, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:13Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason5v4
  22. P2 1:14Michalek: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Michalek, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Zibanejad · PHI Giroux, Schenn, Manning, Read

  23. P2 2:15Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson4v5
  24. P2 3:14Goal by Medvedev (Couturier, Del Zotto)+24 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Chiasson, Cowen, Zibanejad · PHI Del Zotto, Read, Couturier, Raffl, Medvedev

  25. P2 4:20Goal by Hoffman (Ryan, Turris)+23 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Turris, Hoffman, Cowen, Ceci · PHI Giroux, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gudas, Raffl

  26. P2 5:58Shot by Michalek, saved by Mason
  27. P2 6:22Shot by Bellemare, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 7:11Shot by Raffl, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 7:42Shot by Manning, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 8:02Shot by Read, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 8:04Shot by Read, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 8:36Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 8:37Prince: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Smith, Borowiecki, Wideman, Prince · PHI VandeVelde, Simmonds, Gostisbehere, Bellemare, Medvedev

  34. P2 9:03Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson4v5
  35. P2 9:36Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson4v5
  36. P2 10:03Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson4v5
  37. P2 11:16Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  38. P2 12:15Shot by Raffl, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 13:21Shot by Chiasson, saved by Mason
  40. P2 13:43Shot by Read, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 13:48Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 16:33Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 16:35Goal by Simmonds (Couturier, Manning)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Karlsson, Stone, Zibanejad, Lazar · PHI Simmonds, Manning, Read, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  44. P2 18:10Borowiecki: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Smith, Borowiecki, Wideman, Prince · PHI VandeVelde, Voracek, Del Zotto, Gudas, Bellemare

  45. P2 19:19Shot by Medvedev, saved by Anderson4v5
  46. P2 19:49Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Anderson4v5
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:28Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 1:52Shot by Turris, saved by Mason
  51. P3 2:05Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mason
  52. P3 3:28Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  53. P3 4:30Shot by Turris, saved by Mason
  54. P3 4:45Shot by Read, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 4:52Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 5:09Shot by Stone, saved by Mason
  57. P3 5:45Shot by Pageau, saved by Mason
  58. P3 6:31Shot by Ceci, saved by Mason
  59. P3 8:30Shot by Stone, saved by Mason
  60. P3 11:43Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  61. P3 11:58Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 12:19Shot by Pageau, saved by Mason
  63. P3 12:40Borowiecki: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Wideman, Stone, Pageau · PHI VandeVelde, Giroux, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gudas, Bellemare

  64. P3 13:56Shot by Raffl, saved by Anderson4v5
  65. P3 14:38Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson4v5
  66. P3 15:24Shot by McDonald, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 17:53Shot by Pageau, saved by Mason
  68. P3 18:15Goal by Couturier (Simmonds)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Turris, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · PHI Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gudas, Read, Couturier

  69. P3 19:34Shot by Smith, saved by Mason6v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final