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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 4, 2015·Prudential Center, Newark

Philadelphia Flyers 4, New Jersey Devils 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 80% of the time.

NJD winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Schenn, saved by Schneider
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Schenn, saved by Schneider
  4. P1 1:40Shot by Bellemare, saved by Schneider
  5. P1 4:44Shot by Raffl, saved by Schneider
  6. P1 6:12Shot by Tootoo, saved by Neuvirth
  7. P1 6:36Goal by Matteau, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Kennedy, Schlemko, Merrill, Matteau, Kalinin · PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier

  8. P1 6:56Medvedev: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Cammalleri, Stempniak, Greene, Henrique, Larsson · PHI Schultz, Giroux, Schenn, Raffl, Medvedev

  9. P1 7:01Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  10. P1 9:26Shot by Medvedev, saved by Schneider5v6
  11. P1 9:43Greene: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NJD Kennedy, Greene, Gionta, Henrique, Larsson · PHI VandeVelde, Giroux, Voracek, Manning, Gostisbehere, Medvedev

  12. P1 9:56Goal by Simmonds (Voracek, Giroux)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Stempniak, Henrique, Moore, Larsson · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  13. P1 12:48Shot by Bellemare, saved by Schneider
  14. P1 13:54Shot by Moore, saved by Neuvirth
  15. P1 14:59Shot by Schenn, saved by Schneider
  16. P1 18:39Shot by Larsson, saved by Neuvirth
  17. P1 19:59Shot by Simmonds, saved by Schneider
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:19Shot by Moore, saved by Neuvirth
  21. P2 2:29Shot by Cousins, saved by Schneider
  22. P2 3:07McDonald: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Elias, Schlemko, Palmieri, Josefson, Severson · PHI Schultz, McDonald, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier

  23. P2 5:20Palmieri: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Tootoo, Palmieri, Josefson, Matteau, Severson · PHI McDonald, Giroux, Schenn, Del Zotto, Laughton

  24. P2 5:55Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Schneider4v5
  25. P2 5:57Greene: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Stempniak, Greene, Henrique, Larsson · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  26. P2 6:24Shot by Voracek, saved by Schneider3v5
  27. P2 7:01Shot by Giroux, saved by Schneider3v5
  28. P2 7:12Goal by Giroux (Voracek, Gostisbehere)3v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Josefson, Moore, Larsson · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gostisbehere

  29. P2 8:54Shot by Cousins, saved by Schneider
  30. P2 10:22Laughton: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NJD Kennedy, Moore, Farnham, Severson, Kalinin · PHI McDonald, Schenn, Del Zotto, Cousins, Laughton

  31. P2 10:22Farnham: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NJD Kennedy, Moore, Farnham, Severson, Kalinin · PHI McDonald, Schenn, Del Zotto, Cousins, Laughton

  32. P2 10:48Shot by Voracek, saved by Schneider
  33. P2 12:26Shot by Palmieri, saved by Neuvirth
  34. P2 12:31Shot by Tootoo, saved by Neuvirth
  35. P2 12:43Shot by Kennedy, saved by Neuvirth
  36. P2 15:04Shot by Moore, saved by Neuvirth
  37. P2 15:45Shot by Tootoo, saved by Neuvirth
  38. P2 16:32Shot by Giroux, saved by Schneider
  39. P2 19:51Schenn: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Kennedy, Gionta, Moore, Farnham, Severson · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, Giroux, Schenn, Medvedev

  40. P2 19:59Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:50Shot by Josefson, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  44. P3 1:55Goal by Palmieri (Elias, Cammalleri)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Elias, Cammalleri, Palmieri, Larsson, Kalinin · PHI Schultz, Giroux, Schenn, Schenn, Laughton

  45. P3 2:39Shot by Farnham, saved by Neuvirth
  46. P3 2:53Farnham: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Tootoo, Gionta, Schlemko, Merrill, Farnham · PHI VandeVelde, Voracek, Manning, Gostisbehere, Bellemare

  47. P3 2:53VandeVelde: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Tootoo, Gionta, Schlemko, Merrill, Farnham · PHI VandeVelde, Voracek, Manning, Gostisbehere, Bellemare

  48. P3 4:01Shot by Giroux, saved by Schneider4v4
  49. P3 4:10Shot by Schultz, saved by Schneider4v4
  50. P3 4:55Shot by Palmieri, saved by Neuvirth
  51. P3 7:50Shot by Tootoo, saved by Neuvirth
  52. P3 9:30Goal by Bellemare (VandeVelde, Medvedev)+33 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Kennedy, Moore, Matteau, Severson, Kalinin · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, Voracek, Bellemare, Medvedev

  53. P3 9:26Shot by Schultz, saved by Schneider
  54. P3 9:28Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Schneider
  55. P3 13:12Tootoo: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Tootoo, Greene, Larsson, Farnham, Kalinin · PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Manning, Read, Gostisbehere

  56. P3 13:12Simmonds: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Tootoo, Greene, Larsson, Farnham, Kalinin · PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Manning, Read, Gostisbehere

  57. P3 15:57Shot by Manning, saved by Schneider
  58. P3 17:39Bellemare: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Elias, Josefson, Moore, Matteau, Severson · PHI VandeVelde, Voracek, Del Zotto, Bellemare, Medvedev

  59. P3 19:00Goal by Cammalleri (Stempniak, Kennedy)6v4+46 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Elias, Cammalleri, Stempniak, Kennedy, Henrique, Moore · PHI VandeVelde, Giroux, Del Zotto, Manning

  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. OT 0:00Period start
  62. OT 1:20Shot by Couturier, saved by Schneider3v3
  63. OT 3:24Goal by Read (Del Zotto)3v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Greene, Henrique, Palmieri · PHI Del Zotto, Read, Couturier

  64. OT 3:24Period end
  65. OT 3:24Final