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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 5, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Montréal Canadiens 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Montréal Canadiens

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 51% of the time.

CAR winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Ward
  3. P1 1:38Shot by Weise, saved by Ward
  4. P1 2:19Shot by Malone, saved by Condon
  5. P1 2:44Goal by Carr (Thomas, Flynn)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Lindholm, Hanifin · MTL Markov, Subban, Thomas, Flynn, Carr

  6. P1 4:07Shot by Hainsey, saved by Condon
  7. P1 4:16Staal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Lindholm · MTL Desharnais, Petry, Pacioretty, Weise, Beaulieu

  8. P1 7:00Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward
  9. P1 7:33Shot by Plekanec, saved by Ward
  10. P1 7:54Shot by Lindholm, saved by Condon
  11. P1 8:26Shot by Lindholm, saved by Condon
  12. P1 8:40Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward
  13. P1 9:33Shot by Faulk, saved by Condon
  14. P1 10:54Shot by McGinn, saved by Condon
  15. P1 11:05Shot by Slavin, saved by Condon
  16. P1 11:15Eller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Nestrasil, Nordstrom, Slavin, Hanifin · MTL Markov, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk, Andrighetto

  17. P1 11:27Shot by Faulk, saved by Condon5v4
  18. P1 13:15Goal by Skinner (Staal, Nestrasil)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Liles, Staal, Nestrasil, Skinner, Pesce · MTL Byron, Subban, Beaulieu, Flynn

  19. P1 13:47Shot by Terry, saved by Condon
  20. P1 16:21Shot by Subban, saved by Ward
  21. P1 18:26Shot by Carr, saved by Ward
  22. P1 18:47Hainsey: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nestrasil, Faulk, Nordstrom · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Weise

  23. P1 19:25Shot by Plekanec, saved by Ward4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:25Shot by Weise, saved by Ward4v5
  27. P2 0:46Shot by Subban, saved by Ward4v5
  28. P2 3:43Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward
  29. P2 5:10Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Ward
  30. P2 6:53Shot by Weise, saved by Ward
  31. P2 6:24Shot by Lindholm, saved by Condon
  32. P2 7:35McGinn: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nestrasil, Faulk, McGinn · MTL Plekanec, Desharnais, Petry, Pacioretty, Weise, Beaulieu

  33. P2 7:39Shot by Subban, saved by Ward4v5
  34. P2 8:49Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Condon4v5
  35. P2 9:27Shot by Gilbert, saved by Ward4v5
  36. P2 9:47Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Ward
  37. P2 10:40Shot by Weise, saved by Ward
  38. P2 10:33Shot by Staal, saved by Condon
  39. P2 11:13Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward
  40. P2 11:19Goal by Andrighetto (Petry, Galchenyuk)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Liles, Staal, McGinn, Pesce, Lindholm · MTL Emelin, Petry, Eller, Galchenyuk, Andrighetto

  41. P2 13:04Shot by Slavin, saved by Condon
  42. P2 13:13Shot by Nestrasil, saved by Condon
  43. P2 13:15Goal by Nordstrom (Nestrasil, Hainsey)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nestrasil, Faulk, Nordstrom · MTL Emelin, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Weise

  44. P2 14:00Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Ward
  45. P2 14:02Shot by Eller, saved by Ward
  46. P2 14:19Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Ward
  47. P2 14:26Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Ward
  48. P2 15:48Shot by Terry, saved by Condon
  49. P2 16:37Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward
  50. P2 16:47Desharnais: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR McClement, Terry, Malone, Slavin, Hanifin · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Weise

  51. P2 17:14Shot by Lindholm, saved by Condon5v4
  52. P2 18:00Shot by Hanifin, saved by Condon5v4
  53. P2 19:48Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Condon
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:11Shot by Staal, saved by Condon
  57. P3 0:09Shot by McGinn, saved by Condon
  58. P3 0:33Shot by Staal, saved by Condon
  59. P3 0:43Shot by Emelin, saved by Ward
  60. P3 2:32Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Condon
  61. P3 3:21Shot by Weise, saved by Ward
  62. P3 5:00Shot by Carr, saved by Ward
  63. P3 5:08Shot by Thomas, saved by Ward
  64. P3 5:28Shot by Markov, saved by Ward
  65. P3 6:06Subban: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, Pesce · MTL Desharnais, Petry, Subban, Pacioretty, Weise

  66. P3 7:31Shot by Skinner, saved by Condon5v4
  67. P3 8:11Shot by Lindholm, saved by Condon
  68. P3 8:17Shot by Rask, saved by Condon
  69. P3 9:00Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward
  70. P3 11:29Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Ward
  71. P3 12:23Gilbert: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Liles, Staal, McGinn, Pesce, Lindholm · MTL Fleischmann, Gilbert, Emelin, Desharnais, Weise

  72. P3 12:26Shot by Pesce, saved by Condon5v4
  73. P3 12:28Goal by Skinner (Pesce, Liles)5v4+36 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Liles, Staal, Nestrasil, Skinner, Pesce · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Eller

  74. P3 12:52Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Ward
  75. P3 14:04Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Ward
  76. P3 14:44Shot by Gilbert, saved by Ward
  77. P3 16:44Staal: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Lindholm · MTL Plekanec, Petry, Byron, Eller, Beaulieu

  78. P3 18:50Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Ward5v6
  79. P3 19:32Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward5v6
  80. P3 19:53Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Ward5v6
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final