Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 7, 2015·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Buffalo Sabres 2, Vancouver Canucks 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 67% of the time.

VAN winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Vrbata, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 2:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Miller
  5. P1 2:47Shot by Gorges, saved by Miller
  6. P1 4:14Shot by Larsson, saved by Miller
  7. P1 4:24Shot by Larsson, saved by Miller
  8. P1 5:47Shot by Higgins, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 6:01Shot by Franson, saved by Miller
  10. P1 6:48Goal by Gionta (McGinn)+20 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Bartkowski, Hutton · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, McGinn, Bogosian, Eichel

  11. P1 7:25Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  12. P1 8:07Shot by Higgins, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 8:08Goal by Vrbata (Higgins, Hutton)+20 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Vrbata, Higgins, Bartkowski, Hutton, McCann · BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers

  14. P1 10:03Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Miller
  15. P1 11:22Deslauriers: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Higgins, Burrows, Tanev, Hutton, Horvat · BUF Legwand, Gionta, Gorges, McGinn, Foligno, Ristolainen

  16. P1 11:52Shot by Burrows, saved by Ullmark5v4
  17. P1 13:11Shot by Sedin, saved by Ullmark5v4
  18. P1 14:41Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller
  19. P1 16:42Goal by Vrbata (Hamhuis, Sedin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vrbata, Hamhuis, Biega · BUF Legwand, Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen

  20. P1 18:10Shot by Burrows, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 18:10Bogosian: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Burrows, Biega, Baertschi, Horvat · BUF Colaiacovo, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, Reinhart

  22. P1 19:15Shot by Vrbata, saved by Ullmark5v4
  23. P1 19:44Shot by Higgins, saved by Ullmark5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:54Shot by Cracknell, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 1:47Shot by Higgins, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 2:26Shot by Baertschi, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 2:51Shot by Baertschi, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 4:34Goal by Prust (Dorsett, Cracknell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Prust, Cracknell, Biega, Dorsett · BUF Gionta, Franson, Weber, McGinn, Eichel

  31. P2 5:51Shot by Sedin, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 6:00Shot by Larsson, saved by Miller
  33. P2 6:29Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  34. P2 7:19Shot by Reinhart, saved by Miller
  35. P2 9:14Sedin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Edler, Hansen, Tanev · BUF Colaiacovo, Moulson, Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons

  36. P2 11:30Shot by Moulson, saved by Miller
  37. P2 11:36Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Miller
  38. P2 11:49Kane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Edler, Dorsett, Tanev · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  39. P2 12:01Shot by Edler, saved by Ullmark5v4
  40. P2 13:37Shot by Hutton, saved by Ullmark5v4
  41. P2 13:51Shot by Hutton, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 14:52Shot by McGinn, saved by Miller
  43. P2 16:08Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller
  44. P2 16:09Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  45. P2 16:13Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  46. P2 16:13Deslauriers: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Hansen, Biega · BUF Legwand, Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Ristolainen

  47. P2 16:14Burrows: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vrbata, Burrows, Edler · BUF Legwand, Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen

  48. P2 16:59Kane: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vrbata, Edler, Tanev · BUF Colaiacovo, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane

  49. P2 17:18Goal by Sedin (Edler, Sedin)4v3+4 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vrbata, Edler · BUF Legwand, Gorges, Girgensons

  50. P2 17:32Shot by Gionta, saved by Miller4v4
  51. P2 19:21Shot by Kane, saved by Miller4v5
  52. P2 19:47Shot by Eichel, saved by Miller4v5
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:23Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 1:51Goal by Reinhart (O'Reilly)+5 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Hamhuis, Prust, Hansen, Biega · BUF Franson, Weber, McGinn, O'Reilly, Reinhart

  57. P3 2:20Shot by Vrbata, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 3:39Shot by Eichel, saved by Miller
  59. P3 4:11Shot by McGinn, saved by Miller
  60. P3 7:36Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Miller
  61. P3 9:02Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Miller
  62. P3 9:29Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  63. P3 10:05Weber: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Prust, Cracknell, Dorsett, Bartkowski, Hutton · BUF Legwand, Franson, Weber, Foligno, Deslauriers

  64. P3 10:42Shot by Edler, saved by Ullmark5v4
  65. P3 10:55Shot by Burrows, saved by Ullmark5v4
  66. P3 12:25Shot by Cracknell, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 12:59Shot by Sedin, saved by Ullmark
  68. P3 13:21Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Miller
  69. P3 13:52Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Miller
  70. P3 14:06Shot by Biega, saved by Ullmark
  71. P3 14:28Goal by Vrbata (Cracknell, Prust)+2 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Vrbata, Hamhuis, Prust, Cracknell, Biega · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Bogosian, Kane, Eichel

  72. P3 15:10Shot by Moulson, saved by Miller
  73. P3 15:35Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Miller
  74. P3 16:11Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Miller
  75. P3 17:22Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  76. P3 18:07Shot by Biega, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 19:05Shot by Hutton, saved by Ullmark
  78. P3 19:28Shot by Weber, saved by Miller
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final