Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 9, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Colorado Avalanche 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:46Shot by Bonino, saved by Berra
  3. P1 2:58Shot by Wagner, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 3:55Shot by Soderberg, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 4:09Shot by Guenin, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 5:05Shot by Bennett, saved by Berra
  7. P1 5:34Goal by Duchene (MacKinnon, Grigorenko)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Holden, Duchene, Gormley, Grigorenko, MacKinnon · PIT Cullen, Letang, Lovejoy, Sprong, Plotnikov

  8. P1 7:08Cullen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie, Wagner · PIT Cullen, Cole, Warsofsky, Sprong, Plotnikov

  9. P1 7:45Shot by Iginla, saved by Fleury5v4
  10. P1 7:56Shot by Crosby, saved by Berra5v4
  11. P1 8:16Shot by Iginla, saved by Fleury5v4
  12. P1 8:29Shot by Tanguay, saved by Fleury5v4
  13. P1 10:52Shot by Letang, saved by Berra
  14. P1 10:56Goal by Cullen (Hornqvist, Maatta)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Guenin, McLeod, Skille, Gormley, Wagner · PIT Cullen, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta, Plotnikov

  15. P1 11:40Shot by Warsofsky, saved by Berra
  16. P1 12:13Shot by Warsofsky, saved by Berra
  17. P1 12:51Shot by Bennett, saved by Berra
  18. P1 13:24Shot by Cullen, saved by Berra
  19. P1 14:26Shot by Martinsen, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 15:00Goal by Johnson (Soderberg, Beauchemin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Martinsen · PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Perron, Maatta

  21. P1 16:14Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Berra
  22. P1 17:29Shot by Holden, saved by Fleury
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:08Shot by Bennett, saved by Berra
  26. P2 2:36Shot by Warsofsky, saved by Berra
  27. P2 3:08Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Berra
  28. P2 3:09Shot by Malkin, saved by Berra
  29. P2 4:17Shot by Bennett, saved by Berra
  30. P2 4:43Shot by Cole, saved by Berra
  31. P2 5:36Shot by Iginla, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 8:17Shot by Skille, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 8:53Shot by Skille, saved by Fleury
  34. P2 9:04Shot by Plotnikov, saved by Berra
  35. P2 9:21Shot by Kunitz, saved by Berra
  36. P2 11:15Shot by Guenin, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 13:44Berra: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Martinsen · PIT Malkin, Letang, Maatta, Sprong, Plotnikov

  38. P2 14:18Shot by Kunitz, saved by Berra4v5
  39. P2 15:36Shot by Bonino, saved by Berra4v5
  40. P2 16:49Shot by Plotnikov, saved by Berra
  41. P2 18:52Shot by Kunitz, saved by Berra
  42. P2 19:30Lovejoy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · PIT Cullen, Lovejoy, Dumoulin, Sprong, Plotnikov

  43. P2 19:53Shot by Cole, saved by Berra5v4
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:07Shot by Barrie, saved by Fleury5v4
  47. P3 2:36Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Berra
  48. P3 2:52Shot by Malkin, saved by Berra
  49. P3 3:30Malkin: Delaying game smothering puck (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, McLeod, Johnson · PIT Fehr, Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Cole

  50. P3 4:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury5v4
  51. P3 4:42Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Fleury5v4
  52. P3 4:55Perron: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Soderberg, Holden · PIT Cullen, Kunitz, Lovejoy, Cole

  53. P3 5:02Shot by Barrie, saved by Fleury5v3
  54. P3 5:59Shot by Barrie, saved by Fleury5v4
  55. P3 6:32Shot by Tanguay, saved by Fleury5v4
  56. P3 7:19Goal by Bennett (Kunitz, Crosby)+31 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Lovejoy, Dumoulin, Bennett

  57. P3 7:54Shot by Perron, saved by Berra
  58. P3 9:16Shot by Crosby, saved by Berra
  59. P3 9:24Goal by Hornqvist (Maatta, Bonino)+33 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Mitchell, McLeod, Holden, Barrie · PIT Fehr, Letang, Hornqvist, Bonino, Maatta

  60. P3 9:38Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Berra
  61. P3 10:28Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 10:43Goal by Bennett (Dumoulin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Lovejoy, Dumoulin, Bennett

  63. P3 12:04Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 13:07Shot by Letang, saved by Berra
  65. P3 13:10Holden: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Skille, Holden, Wagner, Grigorenko · PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Perron, Maatta

  66. P3 15:05Shot by Kessel, saved by Berra4v5
  67. P3 16:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 18:23Perron: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL McLeod, Skille, Johnson, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Lovejoy, Perron, Dumoulin

  69. P3 18:40Shot by Barrie, saved by Fleury6v4
  70. P3 19:15Shot by Iginla, saved by Fleury6v4
  71. P3 19:32Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury6v4
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final