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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 10, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Montréal Canadiens 2, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Montréal Canadiens

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 55% of the time.

DET winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Richards, saved by Tokarski
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Petry, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 3:48Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 4:38Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Tokarski
  6. P1 5:24Shot by Carr, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 6:01Fleischmann: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Smith, Andersson, Marchenko, Jurco · MTL Fleischmann, Gilbert, Desharnais, Pateryn, Carr

  8. P1 7:05Shot by Green, saved by Tokarski5v4
  9. P1 7:18Shot by Tatar, saved by Tokarski5v4
  10. P1 8:03Shot by Nyquist, saved by Tokarski
  11. P1 8:27Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 10:01Abdelkader: Charging (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Larkin · MTL Plekanec, Petry, Subban, Pacioretty, Weise, Galchenyuk

  13. P1 11:33Shot by Sheahan, saved by Tokarski4v5
  14. P1 13:38Shot by Kronwall, saved by Tokarski
  15. P1 13:55Shot by Helm, saved by Tokarski
  16. P1 14:31Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 14:34Shot by Carr, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 15:38Petry: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Smith, Andersson, Marchenko, Jurco, Glendening · MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Petry, Byron, Eller

  19. P1 15:57Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Tokarski5v4
  20. P1 19:59Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Tokarski
  21. P1 19:59Period end
  22. P1 11:06Shot by Markov, saved by Mrazek4v5
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 2:04Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Mrazek
  25. P2 4:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Tokarski
  26. P2 5:13Shot by Helm, saved by Tokarski
  27. P2 5:25Shot by Marchenko, saved by Tokarski
  28. P2 5:37Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Smith, Andersson, Marchenko, Jurco, Glendening · MTL Emelin, Petry, Flynn, Hudon, Andrighetto

  29. P2 6:33Shot by Subban, saved by Mrazek4v5
  30. P2 8:49Shot by Pateryn, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 11:18Goal by Helm (Glendening, Andersson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Helm, Andersson, Glendening · MTL Plekanec, Gilbert, Byron, Eller, Pateryn

  32. P2 13:18Shot by Hudon, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 13:21Goal by Andrighetto (Hudon, Markov)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko · MTL Markov, Subban, Flynn, Hudon, Andrighetto

  34. P2 13:35Shot by Desharnais, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 13:37Carr: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Larkin · MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Desharnais, Petry, Carr

  36. P2 13:36Shot by Carr, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 15:30Shot by Plekanec, saved by Mrazek5v4
  38. P2 15:41Shot by Tatar, saved by Tokarski
  39. P2 16:54Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Mrazek
  40. P2 18:23Flynn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Larkin · MTL Emelin, Petry, Pacioretty, Flynn, Hudon

  41. P2 18:23Abdelkader: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Larkin · MTL Emelin, Petry, Pacioretty, Flynn, Hudon

  42. P2 18:32Shot by Smith, saved by Tokarski4v4
  43. P2 18:51Shot by Plekanec, saved by Mrazek4v4
  44. P2 19:06Shot by Tatar, saved by Tokarski4v4
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:16Shot by Green, saved by Tokarski4v4
  48. P3 2:31Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Tokarski
  49. P3 3:15Shot by Green, saved by Tokarski
  50. P3 4:30Goal by Fleischmann (Desharnais, Carr)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, DeKeyser · MTL Fleischmann, Gilbert, Desharnais, Pateryn, Carr

  51. P3 5:01Shot by Gilbert, saved by Mrazek
  52. P3 5:03Shot by Eller, saved by Mrazek
  53. P3 5:24Shot by Green, saved by Tokarski
  54. P3 7:00Shot by Smith, saved by Tokarski
  55. P3 8:42Fleischmann: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko · MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Desharnais, Subban, Carr

  56. P3 9:52Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Tokarski5v4
  57. P3 10:55Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Mrazek
  58. P3 11:03Shot by Emelin, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 12:30Emelin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Helm, Tatar, Larkin · MTL Emelin, Petry, Byron, Flynn, Hudon

  60. P3 12:40Shot by Kronwall, saved by Tokarski5v4
  61. P3 12:48Goal by Abdelkader (Zetterberg, Kronwall)5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty

  62. P3 13:59Goal by Helm (Datsyuk)+37 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Ericsson, Helm, DeKeyser · MTL Gilbert, Pacioretty, Weise, Pateryn, Galchenyuk

  63. P3 16:16Shot by Helm, saved by Tokarski
  64. P3 16:36Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Tokarski
  65. P3 17:32Shot by Carr, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 17:55Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Tokarski
  67. P3 18:16Subban: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Marchenko · MTL Markov, Subban, Pacioretty, Weise, Galchenyuk

  68. P3 18:27Shot by Emelin, saved by Mrazek5v4
  69. P3 19:47Shot by Markov, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final