Sun, Dec 13, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 0, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 013 | 09 | 030 |
| CHI | 18 | 011 | 311 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:51CHIDuncan KeithPPGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P3 11:36CHIDennis RasmussenAssists: Bryan Bickell, Andrew Shaw · Tip-in, 0.19 xG0–2
- P3 19:29CHIAndrew ShawENAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.75 xG0–3
- P3 19:50CHIBrandon MashinterAssists: Trevor Daley, Dennis Rasmussen · Wrist, 0.35 xG0–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 10:36VANChris Higgins: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 4:06CHIArtemi Panarin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 7:24CHIAndrew Shaw: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:07VANJannik Hansen: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:51CHITrevor Daley: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Hansen11:02
xG 0.79–0.30 (73%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Burrows – Baertschi – Horvat10:10
xG 0.14–0.27 (34%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Higgins – McCann10:25
xG 0.17–0.47 (27%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
- Prust – Cracknell – Dorsett10:45
xG 0.17–1.07 (14%)attempts 7–18goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Edler – Tanev14:17
xG 0.40–0.37 (52%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Biega – Bartkowski13:46
xG 0.23–0.59 (28%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Weber – Hutton13:16
xG 0.49–0.87 (36%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Shaw – Rasmussen9:00
xG 1.24–0.15 (89%)attempts 20–6goals 1–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin13:02
xG 0.45–0.07 (86%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Desjardins – Mashinter – Kruger8:13
xG 0.36–0.57 (39%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Hossa – Toews – Teravainen12:00
xG 0.09–0.44 (17%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDaley – Rundblad12:06
xG 1.28–0.27 (83%)attempts 18–7goals 1–0
- Keith – van Riemsdyk16:08
xG 0.64–0.16 (80%)attempts 21–10goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson12:38
xG 0.62–0.67 (48%)attempts 9–15goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).