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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 14, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:29Shot by Sheahan, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 1:57Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 2:04Shot by Helm, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 3:30Zetterberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF McGinn, Bogosian, O'Reilly, McCabe, Reinhart

  7. P1 5:27Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek4v5
  8. P1 7:31Shot by Richards, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 8:19Shot by Gorges, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 8:44Gorges: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Smith, Marchenko, Larkin · BUF Gorges, Kane, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Eichel

  11. P1 13:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 14:28Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 14:57Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 15:13Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 16:52Shot by Gionta, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 17:08Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 18:58Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 19:59Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Smith, Marchenko, Larkin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P1 19:59Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek4v6
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:56Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek4v5
  23. P2 3:14Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson
  24. P2 3:49Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  25. P2 4:01Goal by Richards (Datsyuk, Helm)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Marchenko · BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart

  26. P2 4:10Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 6:44Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 7:14Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek
  29. P2 7:21Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 8:38Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 8:40Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 11:47Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson
  33. P2 12:24Shot by Green, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 12:36Shot by Richards, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 13:57Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 14:47Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 14:56Weber: Penalty shot slash on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Andersson, Jurco, Glendening · BUF Gionta, Franson, Weber, Larsson, Girgensons

  38. P2 14:56Shot by Jurco, saved by Johnsonother
  39. P2 16:03Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 16:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 17:16Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson
  42. P2 17:51Shot by McGinn, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 18:15Shot by Helm, saved by Johnson
  44. P2 18:28Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 18:29Tatar: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe

  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:35Shot by Gionta, saved by Mrazek
  49. P3 0:37Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  50. P3 2:59Shot by Ericsson, saved by Johnson
  51. P3 3:56Shot by Tatar, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 5:02Shot by Gionta, saved by Mrazek
  53. P3 6:08Shot by Ericsson, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 6:24O'Reilly: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Helm · BUF McGinn, Bogosian, O'Reilly, McCabe, Reinhart

  55. P3 6:40Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson5v4
  56. P3 7:45Shot by Green, saved by Johnson5v4
  57. P3 7:57Shot by Richards, saved by Johnson5v4
  58. P3 9:18Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 11:34Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 11:51Shot by Tatar, saved by Johnson
  61. P3 13:26Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 13:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson
  63. P3 14:32Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  64. P3 14:45Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  65. P3 15:12Shot by Ericsson, saved by Johnson
  66. P3 15:43Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 15:46Goal by O'Reilly (Reinhart, Ristolainen)+40 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Smith, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF McGinn, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  68. P3 16:19Shot by Richards, saved by Johnson
  69. P3 16:47Goal by Larsson (Weber)+41 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan · BUF Gionta, Weber, Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons

  70. P3 17:10Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  71. P3 18:55Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson6v5
  72. P3 19:21Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson6v5
  73. P3 19:42Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson6v5
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 18:44Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson6v5
  76. P3 0:00Final