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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 14, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

McGinn–O'Reilly–ReinhartGionta–Larsson–GirgensonsMoulson–Kane–EichelLegwand–Foligno–DeslauriersKane–Foligno–EichelFoligno–Larsson–GirgensonsKane–Deslauriers–EichelGorges–RistolainenBogosian–McCabeFranson–WeberWeber–BogosianMcCabe–Ristolainen
Zetterberg–Abdelkader–Larkin2:210.06–0.270:500.00–0.013:330.31–0.031:480.02–0.110:580.00–0.050:450.13–0.0010:060.53–0.431:310.00–0.05
Richards–Datsyuk–Helm6:040.11–0.442:140.19–0.001:010.32–0.191:040.16–0.005:340.49–0.394:010.07–0.320:510.01–0.030:300.00–0.00
Nyquist–Tatar–Sheahan1:360.00–0.023:130.00–0.601:130.07–0.050:490.06–0.000:520.10–0.021:050.00–0.023:520.17–0.143:370.06–0.39
Andersson–Jurco–Glendening1:110.63–0.051:400.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:350.63–0.00
Ericsson–DeKeyser8:190.13–0.242:450.01–0.091:320.00–0.000:440.10–0.020:540.00–0.025:180.01–0.137:390.15–0.253:190.08–0.02
Kronwall–Green1:070.10–0.303:290.63–0.284:050.69–0.171:170.06–0.031:370.00–0.110:340.00–0.005:390.30–0.174:430.45–0.231:540.72–0.380:580.00–0.00
Smith–Marchenko1:440.10–0.004:570.18–0.380:570.00–0.030:320.02–0.003:510.33–0.191:370.25–0.005:520.01–0.39
Green–Smith
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAbdelkader FZetterberg FLarkin FDatsyuk FRichards FHelm FNyquist FSheahan FTatar FJurco FAndersson FGlendening FEricsson DDeKeyser DGreen DKronwall DSmith DMarchenko DMrazek GReinhart FMcGinn FO'Reilly FKane FEichel FMoulson FGionta FLarsson FGirgensons FDeslauriers FLegwand FFoligno FGorges DRistolainen DMcCabe DBogosian DWeber DFranson DJohnson G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3026:020:522:0145
Danny DeKeyserDET2923:360:491:2435
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2522:380:541:2583
Jonathan EricssonDET2721:460:481:1924
Zach BogosianBUF2720:520:461:1844
Pavel DatsyukDET2120:340:592:1141
Henrik ZetterbergDET2420:330:511:4342
Evander KaneBUF2320:180:531:2914
Darren HelmDET2620:030:461:3045
Mike GreenDET2019:490:591:2750
Niklas KronwallDET2419:200:481:2740
Jamie McGinnBUF2219:000:521:2582
Sam ReinhartBUF2318:440:491:2582
Josh GorgesBUF2818:300:401:1925
Justin AbdelkaderDET2418:160:461:2552
Brian GiontaBUF2117:540:511:3223
Jake McCabeBUF2317:520:471:1923
Jack EichelBUF2117:130:491:2323
Dylan LarkinDET2417:030:431:2842
Mike WeberBUF2416:400:421:2502
Cody FransonBUF2516:370:401:2212
Brad RichardsDET2016:350:501:2531
Riley SheahanDET2416:040:401:2241
Alexey MarchenkoDET2215:510:431:2321
Brendan SmithDET2015:340:471:2121
Gustav NyquistDET2115:280:441:2841
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2114:320:421:3213
Tomas TatarDET2113:560:401:2851
Johan LarssonBUF1813:140:441:3212
Matt MoulsonBUF1411:180:481:1513
Marcus FolignoBUF1410:120:441:0910
Luke GlendeningDET169:240:351:0504
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF117:510:431:0610
Joakim AnderssonDET106:470:411:1700
David LegwandBUF106:340:390:5712
Tomas JurcoDET85:260:411:0500