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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 19, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Chicago Blackhawks 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.

BUF winsCHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:25Shot by Hjalmarsson, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 6:04Goal by Rasmussen (Rozsival)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Kane, Ristolainen, Eichel · CHI Rozsival, Scuderi, Bickell, Shaw, Rasmussen

  4. P1 6:36Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Crawford
  5. P1 9:02Shot by Garbutt, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 9:12Shot by Eichel, saved by Crawford
  7. P1 11:58Shot by Teravainen, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 12:57Shot by Garbutt, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 13:45Shot by Hjalmarsson, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 14:02Shot by Kane, saved by Crawford
  11. P1 15:17Shot by Reinhart, saved by Crawford
  12. P1 17:04Shot by Gorges, saved by Crawford
  13. P1 0:00Period end
  14. P2 0:00Period start
  15. P2 0:25Shot by Keith, saved by Johnson
  16. P2 0:43Shot by Panarin, saved by Johnson
  17. P2 2:00Shot by Garbutt, saved by Johnson
  18. P2 3:17Shot by Kane, saved by Johnson
  19. P2 4:59Shot by McGinn, saved by Crawford
  20. P2 5:27Shot by Teravainen, saved by Johnson
  21. P2 5:57Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Crawford
  22. P2 6:37Goal by Franson (Eichel, Kane)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Weber, Deslauriers, Eichel · CHI Rozsival, Scuderi, Desjardins, Garbutt, Danault

  23. P2 8:45Shot by Reinhart, saved by Crawford
  24. P2 8:48Shot by Reinhart, saved by Crawford
  25. P2 8:57Shot by Eichel, saved by Crawford
  26. P2 9:14Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Crawford
  27. P2 9:32Shot by Garbutt, saved by Johnson
  28. P2 10:06Shot by Kane, saved by Crawford
  29. P2 10:20Garbutt: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, Moulson, Deslauriers, Ristolainen · CHI Rozsival, Scuderi, Desjardins, Garbutt, Danault

  30. P2 11:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Crawford5v4
  31. P2 12:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson5v4
  32. P2 12:45Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Crawford
  33. P2 13:01Shot by Reinhart, saved by Crawford
  34. P2 13:30Shot by Seabrook, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 17:13Shot by Ennis, saved by Crawford
  36. P2 18:01Shot by Garbutt, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 19:42Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Crawford
  38. P2 19:59Shot by Kane, saved by Crawford
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 1:24Shot by Teravainen, saved by Johnson
  42. P3 1:49Shot by Hossa, saved by Johnson
  43. P3 4:06Shot by Franson, saved by Crawford
  44. P3 6:11Shot by Anisimov, saved by Johnson
  45. P3 6:13Shot by Anisimov, saved by Johnson
  46. P3 6:51Shot by Bickell, saved by Johnson
  47. P3 7:24Shot by Franson, saved by Crawford
  48. P3 11:14Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Crawford
  49. P3 13:35Shot by Hjalmarsson, saved by Johnson
  50. P3 13:54Shot by McCabe, saved by Crawford
  51. P3 14:08Shot by Seabrook, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 14:34Shot by Danault, saved by Johnson
  53. P3 14:50Shot by Legwand, saved by Crawford
  54. P3 15:45Shot by Girgensons, saved by Crawford
  55. P3 16:40Goal by O'Reilly (Reinhart, McCabe)+41 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, McGinn, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Reinhart · CHI Hossa, Seabrook, Hjalmarsson, Toews, Teravainen

  56. P3 17:12Shot by Bickell, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 17:27Gorges: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Anisimov, Kane, Panarin

  58. P3 17:27Ristolainen: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Anisimov, Kane, Panarin

  59. P3 18:23Shot by Kane, saved by Johnson3v5
  60. P3 19:26Goal by Kane (Panarin, Keith)other+42 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Franson, Girgensons · CHI Hossa, Keith, Seabrook, Toews, Kane, Panarin

  61. P3 19:26Franson: Cross checking (2 min)other

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Franson, Girgensons · CHI Hossa, Keith, Seabrook, Toews, Kane, Panarin

  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. OT 0:00Period start
  64. OT 1:23Shot by Kane, saved by Johnson3v4
  65. OT 2:50Shaw: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Ennis, O'Reilly, McCabe, Ristolainen · CHI Hjalmarsson, Anisimov, Shaw, van Riemsdyk

  66. OT 3:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Crawford4v3
  67. OT 3:27Shot by Anisimov, saved by Johnson4v3
  68. OT 5:00Period end
  69. SO Period start
  70. SO Shot by Toews, saved by Johnsonother
  71. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Crawfordother
  72. SO Goal by Kane, unassistedother
  73. SO Shot by Girgensons, saved by Crawfordother
  74. SO Period end
  75. SO Final